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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Arsenal
S S S S U
3–0
Full-time
Monaco
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
20%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
20%
80%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,91 xG 0,38
55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Arsenal Monaco
Gabriel Martinelli 🟨
32′
1–0 B. Saka ⚽
Gabriel Jesus
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Minamino
↦ S. Magassa
Mikel Merino 🟨
60′
63′
🟨 Vanderson
J. Timber 🔁
↦ M. Lewis-Skelly
64′
Jorginho 🔁
↦ D. Rice
64′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
64′
K. Havertz 🔁
↦ Gabriel Jesus
73′
2–0 B. Saka ⚽
78′
E. Nwaneri 🔁
↦ M. Ødegaard
79′
81′
🔁 E. Matazo
↦ L. Camara
81′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ B. Embolo
81′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ Vanderson
3–0 K. Havertz ⚽
B. Saka
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
5 T. Partey D
2 W. Saliba D
15 J. Kiwior D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
23 Mikel Merino M
7 B. Saka F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (12)
12 J. Timber
20 Jorginho
19 L. Trossard
29 K. Havertz
53 E. Nwaneri
30 R. Sterling
3 K. Tierney
50 Z. Monlouis
61 J. Robinson
32 Neto
76 A. Heaven
36 T. Setford

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
88 S. Magassa M
11 M. Akliouche M
10 A. Golovin M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (10)
18 T. Minamino
8 E. Matazo
21 G. Ilenikhena
4 J. Teze
16 P. Köhn
20 K. Ouattara
46 J. Tincrès
50 Y. Lienard
41 L. Michal
44 S. Nibombé

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.