← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Sp Lisbon
S U S T S
1–1
Full-time
Bologna
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sp Lisbon Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
71%
29%
Average goals
3,3
1,6
Scored
1,7
0,4
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,38 xG 1,14
57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 29
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Bologna
10′
🔁 N. Moro
↦ L. Ferguson
21′
⚽ T. Pobega 0–1
S. Beukema
22′
🟨 Emil Holm
41′
🟨 Sam Beukema
Zeno Debast 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Samuel Iling Junior
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Erlić
↦ S. Beukema
46′
🔁 C. Lykogiannis
↦ E. Holm
João Simões 🔁
↦ Z. Debast
50′
56′
🟨 Charalampos Lykogiannīs
Geovany Quenda 🔁
↦ Daniel Bragança
62′
João Simões 🟨
66′
72′
🟨 Martin Erlić
75′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ T. Pobega
1–1 C. Harder ⚽
João Simões
77′
79′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ S. Iling-Junior
Morten Hjulmand 🟨
87′
Matheus Reis 🔁
↦ Trincão
87′
Geovany Quenda 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 F. Israel G
22 Iván Fresneda D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
20 M. Araújo D
42 M. Hjulmand M
6 Z. Debast M
17 Trincão M
23 Daniel Bragança M
21 Geny Catamo M
19 C. Harder F
Bench (12)
52 João Simões
57 Geovany Quenda
2 Matheus Reis
86 Rafael Nel
13 V. Kovačević
90 Afonso Moreira
50 Alexandre Brito
41 Diego Callai
78 Mauro Couto
3 J. St. Juste
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo
47 Ricardo Esgaio

Coach: Rui Borges

Bologna

4-2-3-1
34 F. Ravaglia G
2 E. Holm D
31 S. Beukema D
15 N. Casale D
33 Juan Miranda D
18 T. Pobega M
19 L. Ferguson M
11 D. Ndoye M
80 G. Fabbian M
14 S. Iling-Junior M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (8)
6 N. Moro
5 M. Erlić
22 C. Lykogiannis
21 J. Odgaard
24 T. Dallinga
23 N. Bagnolini
13 T. Ravaglioli
1 Ł. Skorupski

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.