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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Man City
S U S T S
3–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,5
3,5
Scored
4,2
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,1
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,87 xG 1,17
74% Possession 26%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
2 Free kicks against 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man City Club Brugge
45′
⚽ R. Onyedika 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Savinho 🔁
↦ İ. Gündoğan
46′
1–1 M. Kovačić ⚽
J. Stones
53′
1–2 J. Ordoñez ⚽
own goal
62′
70′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ C. Talbi
70′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ Ferran Jutglà
70′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ C. Tzolis
2–2 Savinho ⚽
J. Stones
77′
R. Lewis 🔁
↦ K. De Bruyne
81′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
27 Matheus Nunes D
5 J. Stones D
25 M. Akanji D
24 J. Gvardiol D
8 M. Kovačić M
19 İ. Gündoğan M
20 Bernardo Silva M
17 K. De Bruyne M
47 P. Foden M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
26 Savinho
82 R. Lewis
18 S. Ortega
33 S. Carson
56 J. Wright
10 J. Grealish
75 N. O'Reilly
87 J. McAtee
68 M. Alleyne

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
68 C. Talbi M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (11)
21 M. Skóraś
17 R. Vermant
10 H. Vetlesen
16 D. van den Heuvel
2 Z. Romero
64 K. Sabbe
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
19 G. Nilsson
29 N. Jackers
27 C. Nielsen

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.