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Serie A
Referee: M Piccinini
Atalanta
U T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Torino
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
64%
27%
Points per game
2,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
64%
32%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,97 xG 0,58
65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 3. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 22 17 2 3 +22 +14.9 53
2 Inter 21 15 5 1 +37 +23.9 50
3 Atalanta 22 14 4 4 +23 +15.9 46
4 Lazio 22 12 3 7 +8 +9.8 39
5 Juventus 22 8 13 1 +16 +10.9 37
6 Fiorentina 21 10 6 5 +13 +8.5 36
7 Milan 21 9 7 5 +9 +13.7 34
8 Bologna 21 8 10 3 +6 +5.4 34
9 Roma 22 8 6 8 +5 +3.8 30
10 Udinese 23 8 5 10 -8 -10.7 29
11 Torino 22 6 8 8 -3 -7.1 26
12 Genoa 22 6 8 8 -10 -6.9 26
13 Verona 23 7 2 14 -22 -12.1 23
14 Lecce 23 6 5 12 -23 -15.7 23
15 Como 22 5 7 10 -9 +2.2 22
16 Empoli 22 4 9 9 -8 -10.7 21
17 Cagliari 22 5 6 11 -13 -7.9 21
18 Parma 23 4 8 11 -13 -13.3 20
19 Venezia 23 3 7 13 -16 -14.2 16
20 Monza 23 2 7 14 -14 -10.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Torino
Raoul Bellanova ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
R. Tolói 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
30′
1–0 B. Djimsiti
R. Bellanova
35′
40′
G. Maripán 1–1
V. Lazaro
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Saul Coco
46′
🔁 S. Walukiewicz
↦ M. Pedersen
J. Cuadrado 🔁
↦ M. Ruggeri
57′
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ C. De Ketelaere
57′
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ M. Brescianini
57′
63′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ C. Adams
63′
🔁 A. Njie
↦ Y. Karamoh
72′
🟨 Adrien Tameze
Mateo Retegui
penalty missed
74′
76′
🟨 Vanja Milinković-Savić
76′
🔁 G. Gineitis
↦ A. Tamèze
G. Scamacca 🔁
↦ M. Retegui
85′
85′
🔁 A. Masina
↦ V. Lazaro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
28 Rui Patrício G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. de Roon M
13 Éderson M
22 M. Ruggeri M
44 M. Brescianini F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (10)
2 R. Tolói
7 J. Cuadrado
8 M. Pašalić
24 L. Samardžić
9 G. Scamacca
52 R. Obrić
31 F. Rossi
25 F. Cassa
6 I. Sulemana
27 M. Palestra

Coach: G. Gasperini

Torino

5-4-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
20 V. Lazaro D
16 M. Pedersen D
13 G. Maripán D
23 Saúl Coco D
24 B. Sosa D
10 N. Vlašić M
28 S. Ricci M
61 A. Tamèze M
7 Y. Karamoh M
18 C. Adams F
Bench (11)
4 S. Walukiewicz
9 A. Sanabria
92 A. Njie
66 G. Gineitis
5 A. Masina
77 K. Linetty
1 A. Paleari
17 A. Donnarumma
21 A. Dembélé
72 A. Ciammaglichella
99 D. Yesin

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,43
U ✓
4,51
B
7,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.