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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Club Brugge
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Aston Villa
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,38 xG 0,42
44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Aston Villa
Casper Nielsen 🟨
17′
25′
🟨 Diego Carlos
25′
🟨 Tyrone Mings
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Vanaken ⚽
52′
58′
🔁 J. Durán
↦ J. McGinn
66′
🔁 J. Ramsey
↦ M. Rogers
66′
🔁 Pau Torres
↦ T. Mings
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ A. Skov Olsen
72′
B. Meijer 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
75′
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ C. Nielsen
76′
Hugo Vetlesen 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 E. Buendía
↦ O. Watkins
80′
🔁 K. Nedeljković
↦ Diego Carlos
R. Vermant 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
90′
91′
🟨 Boubacar Kamara
95′
🟨 Ezri Konsa
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
27 C. Nielsen M
30 A. Jashari M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (10)
68 C. Talbi
14 B. Meijer
10 H. Vetlesen
17 R. Vermant
64 K. Sabbe
41 H. Siquet
21 M. Skóraś
2 Z. Romero
58 J. Spileers
29 N. Jackers

Coach: N. Hayen

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
4 E. Konsa D
3 Diego Carlos D
5 T. Mings D
22 I. Maatsen D
44 B. Kamara M
8 Y. Tielemans M
31 L. Bailey M
7 J. McGinn M
27 M. Rogers M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (12)
9 J. Durán
41 J. Ramsey
14 Pau Torres
10 E. Buendía
20 K. Nedeljković
24 A. Onana
18 J. Gauci
26 L. Bogarde
50 S. Swinkels
25 R. Olsen
19 J. Philogene
12 L. Digne

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.