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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Arsenal
S U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/14 matches
Win Ø 66%
75%
57%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
42%
43%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
2,5
2,1
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,63 xG 1,16
48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -24 Arsenal – Paris SG 2–0

Match report

Arsenal Paris SG
4′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–1
K. Kvaratskhelia
Leandro Trossard 🟨
10′
Bukayo Saka 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 João Neves
Mikel Merino ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
70′
🔁 B. Barcola
↦ O. Dembélé
76′
🔁 Gonçalo Ramos
↦ D. Doué
B. White 🔁
↦ J. Timber
83′
89′
🔁 W. Zaïre-Emery
↦ João Neves
E. Nwaneri 🔁
↦ M. Ødegaard
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
12 J. Timber D
2 W. Saliba D
15 J. Kiwior D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
23 Mikel Merino M
7 B. Saka F
19 L. Trossard F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (10)
4 B. White
53 E. Nwaneri
45 J. Henry-Francis
30 R. Sterling
46 I. Kabia
32 Neto
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji
36 T. Setford
17 O. Zinchenko
3 K. Tierney

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Doué F
10 O. Dembélé F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (11)
29 B. Barcola
9 Gonçalo Ramos
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
49 I. Mbaye
19 Lee Kang-In
39 M. Safonov
80 Arnau Tenas
35 Beraldo
21 L. Hernández
24 S. Mayulu
3 P. Kimpembe

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.