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Champions League
Referee: J Pinheiro
1–3
Full-time
Qarabag
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC Qarabag
1–0 B. Varga
C. Makreckis
29′
Half-time 1–0
K. Zachariassen 🔁
↦ B. Otvos
46′
50′
M. Jankovic 1–1
Leandro Andrade
58′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ Leandro Andrade
I. Cisse 🔁
↦ S. Gartenmann
64′
67′
K. Medina 1–2
B. Mustafazada
69′
🟨 Matheus Silva
A. Pesic 🔁
↦ B. Varga
70′
Z. Gruber 🔁
↦ L. Joseph
70′
J. Levi 🔁
↦ G. Kanichowsky
77′
82′
🔁 M. Qurbanly
↦ N. Akhundzade
85′
M. Qurbanly 1–3
Kady Borges
92′
🔁 Chriso
↦ A. Zoubir
92′
🔁 Dani Bolt
↦ Matheus Silva
Gábor Szalai 🟨
93′
Aleksandar Pešić 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

3-5-2
90 D. Dibusz G
3 S. Gartenmann D
28 T. Raemaekers D
22 G. Szalai D
25 C. Makreckis M
64 A. Toth M
23 B. Otvos M
36 G. Kanichowsky M
47 C. O'Dowda M
75 L. Joseph F
19 B. Varga F
Bench (12)
63 D. Radnoti
99 D. Grof
5 N. Keita
7 D. Arzani
8 A. Pesic
10 J. Levi
16 K. Zachariassen
21 E. Botka
27 I. Cisse
30 Z. Gruber
33 Cadu
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robbie Keane

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
15 Leandro Andrade M
20 Kady Borges M
10 A. Zoubir
90 N. Akhundzade F
Bench (12)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
11 E. Addai
18 Dani Bolt
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanly
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.