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Champions League
Referee: A Hernandez
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Pafos
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Pafos
1′
⚽ J. Correia 0–1
M. Tankovic
17′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ M. Tankovic
31′
ℹ️ Bruno
VAR: Goal cancelled
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ P. Olayinka
32′
Half-time 0–2
52′
⚽ Pepe 0–2
Bruno Duarte ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
1–2 Bruno Duarte ⚽
58′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ M. Bajo
69′
73′
🔁 Jaja
↦ J. Correia
73′
🔁 B. Langa
↦ K. Pileas
73′
🔁 M. Ilia
↦ Anderson Silva
Mirko Ivanić 🟨
77′
Mirko Ivanić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
77′
84′
🔁 M. Orsic
↦
87′
🟨 Bruno Langa
Milson 🔁
↦ S. Babicka
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
44 V. Milosavljevic D
13 M. Veljkovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
6 M. Bajo M
21 T. Elsnik M
80 S. Babicka M
4 M. Ivanic M
14 P. Olayinka M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
7 Milson
8 J. Sljivic
10 A. Katai
17 Bruno Duarte
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
25 S. Lekovic
30 F. Tebo Uchenna
37 V. Lucic
71 A. Avdic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Pafos

4-2-3-1
93 N. Michail G
7 Bruno D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 D. Goldar D
2 K. Pileas D
88 Pepe M
26 I. Sunjic M
77 J. Correia M
30 V. Dragomir M
22 M. Tankovic M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (9)
82 P. Petrou
99 A. Papadoudis
9 M. Bassouamina
11 Jaja
12 K. Sema
17 M. Orsic
25 B. Langa
35 Pedrao
70 M. Ilia

Coach: Albert Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Hernandez · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.