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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T S
1–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,8
2,5
Scored
3,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,52 xG 3,34
63% Possession 37%
10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
0 Offside 8
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven St. Gilloise
9′
⚽ P. David 0–1
39′
⚽ A. Ait El Hadj 0–2
Half-time 0–2
A. Salah-Eddine 🔁
↦ A. Obispo
46′
G. Til 🔁
↦ J. Schouten
46′
67′
🔁 M. Giger
↦ P. David
P. Wanner 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
74′
M. Boadu 🔁
↦ R. Pepi
74′
75′
🔁 K. Van De Perre
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
D. Man 🔁
↦
80′
81′
⚽ K. Mac Allister 0–3
K. Rodriguez
88′
🔁 R. Schoofs
↦ K. Rodriguez
1–3 R. van Bommel ⚽
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
32 M. Kovar G
8 S. Dest D
6 R. Flamingo D
4 A. Obispo D
3 Y. Gasiorowski D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perisic M
34 I. Saibari M
7 R. van Bommel M
9 R. Pepi F
Bench (11)
1 N. Olij
2 A. Salah-Eddine
33 E. Waayers
39 A. Nagalo
10 P. Wanner
20 G. Til
11 C. Driouech
19 E. Bajraktarevic
21 M. Boadu
27 D. Man
24 N. Schiks

Coach: Peter Bosz

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
37 K. Scherpen G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
25 A. Khalaili M
8 A. Zorgane M
4 M. Rasmussen M
22 O. Niang M
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
13 K. Rodriguez F
12 P. David F
Bench (10)
1 V. Chambaere
3 M. T. Barry
6 K. Van De Perre
11 Guilherme Smith
17 R. Schoofs
20 M. Giger
23 S. Boufal
26 R. Sykes
27 L. Patris
33 S. Berradi

Coach: David Hubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.