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Eredivisie

Referee: R Hensgens

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Telstar

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Telstar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,8

3,2

Scored

3,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

5,0

2,7

Scored

4,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 1,48

71% Possession 29%

23 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Telstar 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.9	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.5	9
3	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.7	8
4	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+6	+1.8	6
5	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
6	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.2	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.3	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
10	Volendam	4	0	4	0	+0	-3.7	4
11	Twente	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.9	3
12	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.9	3
13	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.6	3
14	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-2	+4.0	2
15	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.6	1
17	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.4	0
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	-7.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.7	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.9	6
4	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.0	6
5	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
11	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
12	Heerenveen	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
13	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
14	Telstar	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
16	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
17	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
7	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.7	2
8	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
9	Ajax	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.7	2
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
12	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
14	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.2	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-8	-1.9	0
18	Heracles	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.