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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenovic
Tottenham
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,54 xG 0,48
58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tottenham Villarreal
0–1 Luiz Junior ⚽
own goal
4′
Xavi Simons 🟨
30′
Richarlison 🟨
33′
35′
🟨 Santi Comesaña
36′
🟨 Santiago Mouriño
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Renato Veiga
J. Palhinha 🔁
↦ P. M. Sarr
69′
D. Udogie 🔁
↦ D. Spence
69′
75′
🔁 I. Akhomach
↦ S. Cardona
75′
🔁 A. Pedraza
↦ A. Perez
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ X. Simons
77′
R. Kolo Muani 🔁
↦ Richarlison
77′
Randal Kolo Muani 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 D. Parejo
↦ S. Comesana
78′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ P. Gueye
82′
🔁 A. Moleiro
↦ T. Buchanan
Micky van de Ven 🟨
84′
K. Danso 🔁
↦ L. Bergvall
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 G. Vicario G
23 P. Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
24 D. Spence D
15 L. Bergvall M
30 R. Bentancur M
29 P. M. Sarr M
20 M. Kudus F
9 Richarlison F
7 X. Simons F
Bench (12)
31 A. Kinsky
40 B. Austin
4 K. Danso
6 J. Palhinha
13 D. Udogie
14 A. Gray
22 B. Johnson
28 W. Odobert
33 B. Davies
39 R. Kolo Muani
44 D. Scarlett
67 J. Byfield

Coach: Igor Tudor

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
8 J. Foyth D
12 R. Veiga D
23 S. Cardona D
19 N. Pepe M
14 S. Comesana M
18 P. Gueye M
17 T. Buchanan M
22 A. Perez F
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
13 D. Conde
25 A. Tenas
3 A. Altimira
4 R. Marin
6 M. Solomon
10 D. Parejo
11 I. Akhomach
16 T. Partey
20 A. Moleiro
21 T. Oluwaseyi
24 A. Pedraza
26 P. Navarro

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.