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Champions League
Referee: D Rumsas
Ath Bilbao
T S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,35 xG 1,28
38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Arsenal
7′
🟨 Declan Rice
Half-time 0–0
U. Gomez 🔁
↦ R. Navarro
61′
65′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ V. Gyökeres
G. Guruzeta 🔁
↦ O. Sancet
68′
Y. Berchiche 🔁
↦ A. Boiro
68′
71′
🔁 G. Martinelli
↦ E. Eze
72′
⚽ G. Martinelli 0–1
L. Trossard
N. Serrano 🔁
↦
81′
A. Rego 🔁
↦ M. Vesga
81′
84′
🟨 Noni Madueke
Mikel Jauregizar 🟨
85′
87′
⚽ L. Trossard 0–2
G. Martinelli
91′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
91′
🔁 P. Hincapie
↦ R. Calafiori
91′
🔁 C. Norgaard
↦ N. Madueke
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 U. Simon G
2 A. Gorosabel D
3 D. Vivian D
4 A. Paredes D
19 A. Boiro D
18 M. Jauregizar M
6 M. Vesga M
7 A. Berenguer M
8 O. Sancet M
23 R. Navarro M
9 I. Williams F
Bench (12)
27 A. Padilla
26 M. Santos
11 G. Guruzeta
12 J. Areso
15 I. Lekue
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta
17 Y. Berchiche
20 U. Gomez
21 M. Sannadi
22 N. Serrano
30 A. Rego
34 J. De Luis

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 D. Raya G
12 J. Timber D
3 C. Mosquera D
6 Gabriel D
33 R. Calafiori D
23 M. Merino M
36 M. Zubimendi M
41 D. Rice M
20 N. Madueke F
14 V. Gyökeres F
10 E. Eze F
Bench (10)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
35 T. Setford
2 W. Saliba
5 P. Hincapie
11 G. Martinelli
16 C. Norgaard
19 L. Trossard
22 E. Nwaneri
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
56 M. Dowman

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumsas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.