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Pro League

Referee: Nicolas Laforge

St. Gilloise

S T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 48%

78%

18%

Points per game

2,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

64%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,19 xG 1,17

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 6

17 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Cercle Brugge 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	2	0	+17	+14.3	23
2	Club Brugge	9	7	1	1	+7	+2.7	22
3	Gent	8	6	0	2	+5	+3.8	18
4	St Truiden	9	5	2	2	+3	+8.0	17
5	Waregem	12	5	2	5	+0	-6.5	17
6	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+5	-1.5	16
7	Anderlecht	9	4	3	2	+6	+6.2	15
8	Genk	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.2	12
9	RAAL La Louviere	11	3	3	5	-4	-7.0	12
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.6	11
11	Cercle Brugge	11	2	4	5	-2	+1.8	10
12	Charleroi	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.0	10
13	Antwerp	9	2	3	4	-2	-4.3	9
14	Westerlo	9	2	3	4	-4	-1.3	9
15	Standard	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.9	6
16	Dender	11	0	2	9	-15	-7.6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+7.6	12
2	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
3	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
4	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.7	10
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
7	Antwerp	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.6	8
8	RAAL La Louviere	5	2	2	1	+0	-3.3	8
9	Genk	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.0	7
10	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
11	Mechelen	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
12	Cercle Brugge	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.9	5
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	+2	-0.9	4
14	Westerlo	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.4	4
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
2	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
3	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-2.4	11
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.7	7
5	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.7	7
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
7	Gent	4	2	0	2	-4	+0.8	6
8	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
9	Cercle Brugge	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
10	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
11	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
12	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	-4	-3.7	4
13	Charleroi	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.8	3
14	Standard	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.3	3
15	Dender	7	0	2	5	-9	-5.6	2
16	Antwerp	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.