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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Ath Bilbao
T U S T S
0–0
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
0,7
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
0,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,6
5,4
Scored
0,8
3,8
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,52 xG 2,22
28% Possession 72%
9 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Paris SG
Mikel Jauregizar 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 Warren Zaïre-Emery
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Zabarnyi
↦ Marquinhos
Álex Berenguer 🟨
48′
U. Gomez 🔁
↦ G. Guruzeta
62′
62′
🔁 D. Doue
↦ S. Mayulu
A. Gorosabel 🔁
↦ J. Areso
73′
A. Rego 🔁
↦ M. Jauregizar
73′
A. Hierro 🔁
↦ O. Sancet
73′
M. Vesga 🔁
↦ I. Ruiz de Galarreta
78′
78′
🔁 G. Ramos
↦ B. Barcola
Unai Gómez 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 U. Simon G
12 J. Areso D
3 D. Vivian D
17 Y. Berchiche D
19 A. Boiro D
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta M
18 M. Jauregizar M
7 A. Berenguer M
8 O. Sancet M
10 N. Williams M
11 G. Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
26 M. Santos
27 A. Padilla
2 A. Gorosabel
6 M. Vesga
9 I. Williams
15 I. Lekue
20 U. Gomez
22 N. Serrano
30 A. Rego
31 A. Hierro
34 J. De Luis
44 S. Sanchez

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 M. Safonov G
33 W. Zaire-Emery D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
87 J. Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 F. Ruiz M
29 B. Barcola F
24 S. Mayulu F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (8)
60 M. James
89 R. Marin
6 I. Zabarnyi
9 G. Ramos
14 D. Doue
19 Lee Kang-In
47 Q. Ndjantou
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.