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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Paris SG
U S T S S
5–3
Full-time
Tottenham
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
4,8
2,3
Scored
3,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,85 xG 1,79
67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Tottenham
35′
⚽ Richarlison 0–1
R. Kolo Muani
1–1 Vitinha ⚽
Q. Ndjantou
45′
Half-time 1–1
L. Hernandez 🔁
↦ N. Mendes
46′
47′
🟨 Lucas Bergvall
50′
⚽ R. Kolo Muani 1–2
2–2 Vitinha ⚽
K. Kvaratskhelia
53′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ B. Barcola
56′
3–2 F. Ruiz ⚽
J. Neves
59′
4–2 W. Pacho ⚽
65′
73′
⚽ R. Kolo Muani 4–3
R. Bentancur
76′
🔁 J. Palhinha
↦ A. Gray
76′
🔁 M. Kudus
↦ L. Bergvall
5–3 Vitinha ⚽
76′
G. Ramos 🔁
↦ Q. Ndjantou
79′
O. Dembele 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
79′
84′
🔁 X. Simons
↦ R. Kolo Muani
84′
🔁 D. Udogie
↦ D. Spence
84′
🔁 W. Odobert
↦ P. M. Sarr
Lucas Hernández ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
92′
Lucas Hernández 🟥
93′
I. Zabarnyi 🔁
↦ Vitinha
94′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
30 L. Chevalier G
33 W. Zaire-Emery D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
87 J. Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 F. Ruiz M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
47 Q. Ndjantou F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
39 M. Safonov
60 M. James
4 L. Beraldo
6 I. Zabarnyi
9 G. Ramos
10 O. Dembele
19 Lee Kang-In
21 L. Hernandez
24 S. Mayulu
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Tottenham

4-2-2-2
1 G. Vicario G
23 P. Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
24 D. Spence D
30 R. Bentancur M
14 A. Gray M
29 P. M. Sarr M
15 L. Bergvall M
9 Richarlison F
39 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (12)
31 A. Kinsky
40 B. Austin
4 K. Danso
6 J. Palhinha
7 X. Simons
13 D. Udogie
20 M. Kudus
28 W. Odobert
33 B. Davies
44 D. Scarlett
54 T. Thompson
68 L. Williams-Barnett

Coach: Bruno Saltor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.