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Conference League
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Celje
S T T U S
3–2
Full-time
Drita
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Drita
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 54%
64%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,81 xG 1,54
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Drita – Celje 2–3

Match report

Celje Drita
1–0 S. Seslar
A. Kucys
19′
2–0 D. Hrka
23′
26′
B. Krasniqi 2–1
B. Krasniqi
41′
🟨 Egzon Bejtulai
3–1 S. Seslar
43′
Half-time 3–1
Łukasz Bejger 🟨
48′
51′
A. Dabiqaj 3–2
L. Balaj
M. Avdyli 🔁
↦ R. Pozeg
62′
Damjan Vuklišević 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 A. Ajzeraj
↦ L. Balaj
68′
🔁 K. Abazaj
↦ B. Sheji
68′
🔁 K. Nguena
↦ V. Limaj
75′
🟨 Jorgo Pëllumbi
I. Vidovic 🔁
↦ M. Kvesic
76′
85′
🟨 Blerim Krasniqi
87′
🟨 Albert Dabiqaj
87′
🔁 O. Grezda
↦ V. Tusha
P. Daniel 🔁
↦ I. Calusic
88′
M. Poplatnik 🔁
↦ A. Kucys
88′
Zan Luk Leban 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Celje

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Leban G
44 L. Bejger D
3 D. Vuklisevic D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
10 S. Seslar M
4 D. Hrka M
27 I. Calusic M
94 R. Pozeg M
8 M. Kvesic F
20 N. Iosifov F
47 A. Kucys
Bench (11)
12 L. Kolar
21 S. Sluga
5 G. Vodeb
6 A. Tutyskinas
7 F. Jevsenak
11 M. Avdyli
13 P. Daniel
15 D. Castro
16 I. Vidovic
17 A. Kotnik
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Ivan Maevskiy

Drita

5-3-2
1 F. Maloku G
2 B. Krasniqi D
15 E. Bejtulai D
32 J. Pellumbi D
26 R. Ovouka D
3 B. Sheji D
10 L. Balaj M
14 A. Dabiqaj M
8 V. Limaj M
19 B. Krasniqi F
25 V. Tusha F
Bench (9)
22 L. Behluli
94 L. Rexhepi
7 A. Ajzeraj
11 F. Ramadani
20 M. Soumahoro
37 O. Grezda
66 E. Sylejmani
77 K. Abazaj
93 K. Nguena

Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.