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Conference League
Referee: J Weinberger
Lech Poznan
S U T T U
4–1
Full-time
Vikingur Reykjavik
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Vikingur Reykjavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

4 Corners 4
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Vikingur Reykjavik – Lech Poznan 1–0

Match report

Lech Poznan Vikingur Reykjavik
15′
🟨 Pablo Punyed
1–0 M. Ishak ⚽
32′
2–0 K. Velde ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Djuric
↦ H. Guðjónsson
46′
🔁 D. Atlason
↦ L. Tómasson
F. Dagerstål 🔁
↦ A. Milić
50′
62′
🟨 Júlíus Magnússon
N. Kvekveskiri 🔁
↦ K. Velde
68′
74′
🔁 B. Ingason
↦ V. Andrason
Radosław Murawski 🟨
78′
Joel Pereira 🟨
79′
Michał Skóraś 🟨
86′
Afonso Sousa 🔁
↦ João Amaral
87′
F. Marchwiński 🔁
↦ R. Murawski
87′
Filip Marchwiński 🟨
89′
95′
⚽ D. Djuric 2–1
3–1 F. Marchwiński ⚽
96′
B. Douglas 🔁
↦ Pedro Rebocho
101′
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
101′
Alan Czerwiński 🟨
105′
110′
🟨 Júlíus Magnússon
110′
🟥 Júlíus Magnússon
114′
🔁 A. Guðjohnsen
↦ A. Sigurpálsson
117′
🟨 Davíð Örn Atlason
4–1 Afonso Sousa ⚽
119′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
44 A. Czerwiński D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
21 M. Skóraś M
6 J. Karlström M
22 R. Murawski M
23 K. Velde M
24 João Amaral M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
25 F. Dagerstål
30 N. Kvekveskiri
7 Afonso Sousa
11 F. Marchwiński
3 B. Douglas
17 F. Szymczak
20 M. Pingot
14 G. Tsitaishvili
31 K. Bąkowski

Coach: J. van den Brom

Vikingur Reykjavik

4-4-2
1 I. Jónsson G
22 K. Gunnarsson F
4 O. Ekroth D
5 K. McLagan D
3 L. Tómasson M
7 E. Agnarsson M
20 Júlíus Magnússon M
10 P. Punyed M
8 V. Andrason F
9 H. Guðjónsson F
17 A. Sigurpálsson F
Bench (10)
19 D. Djuric
24 D. Atlason
18 B. Ingason
15 A. Guðjohnsen
16 Þ. Ingason
12 H. Sigurðsson
23 N. Hansen
30 S. Björnsson
14 J. Geirdal
11 G. Þórðarson

Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.