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Conference League
Referee: Juan Martínez
Hapoel Beer Sheva
S S S
3–1
Full-time
Lugano
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hapoel Beer Sheva Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,0
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Lugano – Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–2

Match report

Hapoel Beer Sheva Lugano
Mariano Bareiro 🟨
17′
S. Elias 🔁
↦ André Martins
19′
21′
🟨 Mohamed Haj Mahmoud
25′
🟨 Allan Arigoni
Half-time 0–0
R. Hatuel 🔁
↦ T. Yosefi
46′
R. Safouri 🔁
↦ O. Dadya
46′
1–0 Miguel Vítor ⚽
51′
58′
🔁 A. Maccoppi
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
58′
🔁 A. Durrer
↦ A. Arigoni
1–1 A. Hajdari ⚽
own goal
61′
65′
🟨 Andrea Maccoppi
S. Yehezkel 🔁
↦ E. Ansah
68′
73′
🔁 L. Molino
↦ H. Mahmoud
73′
🔁 A. Casciato
↦ B. Babic
73′
⚽ O. Doumbia 1–2
D. Micha 🔁
↦ A. Selmani
74′
77′
🔁 N. De Queiroz
↦ M. Valenzuela
Rotem Hatuel 🟨
80′
2–2 R. Hatuel ⚽
85′
Hatem Abd Elhamed 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Albian Hajdari
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva

3-4-3
55 O. Glazer G
18 E. Tibi D
4 Miguel Vítor D
44 H. Elhamed D
30 O. Dadya M
35 M. Bareiro M
28 André Martins M
22 Hélder Lopes M
15 T. Yosefi F
21 A. Selmani F
13 E. Ansah F
Bench (12)
19 S. Elias
77 R. Hatuel
7 R. Safouri
11 S. Yehezkel
10 D. Micha
14 I. Madmon
5 E. Abu Abaid
17 T. Hemed
27 Y. Stoyanov
1 A. Harush
3 D. Keltjens
26 D. Tzadik

Coach: E. Barda

Lugano

4-5-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
5 A. Hajdari D
17 M. Valenzuela D
11 M. Haile-Selassie M
29 H. Mahmoud M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini M
18 H. Mahou M
27 B. Babic F
Bench (7)
16 A. Maccoppi
8 A. Durrer
43 L. Molino
33 A. Casciato
41 N. De Queiroz
44 M. Lape
12 A. Morosoli

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.