← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: G Kruashvili
Anderlecht
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Paide
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Anderlecht Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 44%
67%
20%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,4
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
100%
20%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
0%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
0%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Paide – Anderlecht 0–2

Match report

Anderlecht Paide
25′
🔁 K. Palumets
↦ K. Saag
Half-time 0–0
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ S. Esposito
58′
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ B. Raman
59′
Fábio Silva 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
59′
59′
🔁 B. Tambedou
↦ R. Saarma
59′
🔁 E. Singhateh
↦ K. Piht
1–0 Fábio Silva ⚽
62′
2–0 A. Murillo ⚽
71′
I. Abdulrazak 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
73′
3–0 A. Murillo ⚽
75′
76′
🔁 F. Darboe
↦ K. Mööl
76′
🔁 H. Ojamaa
↦ S. Luts
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ A. Trébel
78′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
54 K. Sardella D
4 W. Hoedt D
3 H. Delcroix D
62 A. Murillo D
20 K. Olsson M
25 A. Trébel M
18 M. Ashimeru M
7 F. Amuzu M
70 S. Esposito M
9 B. Raman F
Bench (12)
11 L. Refaelov
29 M. Stroeykens
99 Fábio Silva
24 I. Abdulrazak
61 K. Arnstad
27 N. Sadiki
26 C. Coosemans
46 A. Ait El Hadj
56 Z. Debast
10 Y. Verschaeren
16 B. Verbruggen
59 J. Duranville

Coach: F. Mazzù

Paide

4-2-1-3
1 M. Aksalu G
10 A. Frolov M
12 A. Yusif D
15 R. Klavan D
29 J. Saliste D
33 K. Mööl D
6 D. Simon M
11 K. Saag F
14 R. Saarma M
9 K. Piht F
19 S. Luts F
Bench (10)
80 K. Palumets
23 B. Tambedou
27 E. Singhateh
4 F. Darboe
2 H. Ojamaa
77 M. Kelement
28 R. Kallas
99 E. Jarju
25 S. Viidas
3 K. Pelt

Coach: K. Voolaid

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.