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Europa League
Referee: T Stieler
HJK Helsinki
S T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Maribor
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Maribor
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,4
Conceded
1,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Corners 2
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Maribor – HJK Helsinki 0–2

Match report

HJK Helsinki Maribor
Bojan Radulović 🟨
11′
14′
🟨 Jan Repas
21′
🟨 Nemanja Mitrović
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Z. Vipotnik
↦ R. Kronaveter
46′
🔁 M. Laušić
↦ I. Brnić
1–0 S. Hostikka ⚽
L. Lingman
54′
A. Tanaka 🔁
↦ S. Väänänen
57′
P. Soiri 🔁
↦ M. Abubakari
57′
60′
🔁 R. Sirk
↦ M. Božić
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ L. Lingman
70′
72′
🔁 A. Antolin
↦ V. Vidaković
72′
🔁 I. Guerrico
↦ A. Žinič
84′
🟨 Aljaž Antolin
A. Olusanya 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
84′
C. Terho 🔁
↦ Murilo
84′
90′
🟨 Sven Karič
David Browne 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
1 C. Hazard G
15 M. Tenho D
5 A. Hoskonen D
22 J. Raitala D
24 D. Browne F
21 S. Väänänen M
8 L. Lingman M
20 Murilo
7 S. Hostikka F
18 B. Radulović F
77 M. Abubakari F
Bench (12)
37 A. Tanaka
23 P. Soiri
56 P. Hetemaj
29 A. Olusanya
19 C. Terho
79 M. Niemelä
44 F. Serrarens
14 M. Peltola
12 J. Tånnander
58 J. Yli-Kokko
3 J. Saksela
6 A. Halme

Coach: T. Koskela

Maribor

4-2-3-1
81 M. Bergsen G
29 A. Žinič D
32 N. Mitrovič D
25 S. Karič D
12 G. Sikošek D
15 J. Repas M
14 V. Vidaković M
8 M. Božić M
7 R. Kronaveter M
17 I. Brnić F
18 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
77 Z. Vipotnik
30 M. Laušić
13 R. Sirk
16 A. Antolin
40 I. Guerrico
42 V. Koderman
59 S. Pridgar
52 M. Zalokar
11 D. Šturm
23 L. Uskoković
24 R. Maher
21 L. Bozickovic

Coach: R. Karanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.