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Europa League
Referee: R Petrescu
Roma
U S T T S
3–0
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Europa League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 60%
100%
20%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
29 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Roma HJK Helsinki
14′
🟥 Miro Tenho
14′
ℹ️ Miro Tenho
VAR: Card upgrade
23′
🔁 M. Peltola
↦ S. Hostikka
Roger Ibañez 🟨
25′
29′
🟨 Përparim Hetemaj
Half-time 0–0
C. Smalling 🔁
↦ Ibañez
46′
P. Dybala 🔁
↦ M. Viña
46′
46′
🔁 P. Arajuuri
↦ A. Hoskonen
46′
🔁 A. Halme
↦ P. Hetemaj
1–0 P. Dybala ⚽
L. Pellegrini
47′
2–0 L. Pellegrini ⚽
49′
Bryan Cristante 🟨
60′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ B. Cristante
64′
66′
🔁 A. Olusanya
↦ P. Soiri
3–0 A. Belotti ⚽
N. Zaniolo
68′
E. Bove 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
69′
69′
🔁 N. Boujellab
↦ L. Lingman
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ N. Zaniolo
76′
87′
🟨 Aapo Halme
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
3 Ibañez D
17 M. Viña D
2 R. Karsdorp M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
37 L. Spinazzola M
22 N. Zaniolo F
7 L. Pellegrini F
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
6 C. Smalling
21 P. Dybala
20 M. Camara
52 E. Bove
9 T. Abraham
73 G. Faticanti
62 C. Volpato
65 F. Tripi
14 E. Shomurodov
63 P. Boer
19 Z. Çelik
99 M. Svilar

Coach: José Mourinho

HJK Helsinki

5-4-1
1 C. Hazard G
23 P. Soiri D
5 A. Hoskonen D
15 M. Tenho D
22 J. Raitala D
24 D. Browne D
7 S. Hostikka M
8 L. Lingman M
21 S. Väänänen M
56 P. Hetemaj M
77 M. Abubakari F
Bench (12)
14 M. Peltola
2 P. Arajuuri
6 A. Halme
29 A. Olusanya
10 N. Boujellab
58 J. Yli-Kokko
4 J. Toivio
79 M. Niemelä
20 Murilo
19 C. Terho
37 A. Tanaka
12 J. Tånnander

Coach: T. Koskela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.