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Europa League
Referee: S Stegemann
Trabzonspor
U U S T T
2–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Trabzonspor FK Crvena Zvezda
6′
🟨 Kings Kangwa
1–0 M. Hamšík ⚽
Trézéguet
16′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Katai
↦ S. Srnić
Djaniny 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 Sékou Sanogo
59′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ A. Pešić
59′
🔁 I. Mustapha
↦ S. Sanogo
E. Bardhi 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
61′
A. Ömür 🔁
↦ M. Gómez
61′
63′
🟨 Kings Kangwa
63′
🟥 Kings Kangwa
2–0 Trézéguet ⚽
A. Bakasetas
68′
Vitor Hugo 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
69′
70′
🔁 V. Nikolić
↦ O. Bukari
M. Lahtimi 🔁
↦ A. Ömür
79′
U. Bozok 🔁
↦ Djaniny
79′
83′
🟨 Aleksandar Katai
84′
🔁 R. Pankov
↦ G. Kanga
89′
⚽ V. Nikolić 2–1
I. Mustapha
Eren Elmalı 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Larsen D
3 Marc Bartra D
24 S. Denswil D
18 E. Elmalı D
17 M. Hamšík M
6 E. Siopis M
27 Trézéguet M
11 A. Bakasetas M
21 Djaniny M
30 M. Gómez F
Bench (10)
29 E. Bardhi
10 A. Ömür
13 Vitor Hugo
80 M. Lahtimi
9 U. Bozok
54 T. Tepe
23 N. Ünüvar
34 D. Haspolat
32 Y. Erdoğan
98 K. Moradaoğlu

Coach: A. Avcı

FK Crvena Zvezda

5-4-1
82 M. Borjan G
55 S. Srnić D
25 S. Eraković D
19 N. Milunović D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
11 O. Bukari M
8 G. Kanga M
35 S. Sanogo M
20 K. Kangwa M
72 A. Pešić F
Bench (12)
10 A. Katai
70 K. Coulibaly
18 I. Mustapha
22 V. Nikolić
6 R. Pankov
27 N. Vasiljević
80 S. Mitrović
77 M. Gobeljić
31 E. Fardou Ben Mohamed
1 Z. Popović
16 I. Azarovi
4 M. Ivanić

Coach: M. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.