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Conference League
Referee: I Griffith
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
T U T U U
0–1
Full-time
Basel
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
0%
57%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 15%
0%
29%
Both score Ø 22%
0%
43%
Average goals
0,0
2,1
Scored
0,0
1,4
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Basel
Francis Kyeremeh 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Arnau Comas
M. Oyewusi 🔁
↦ F. Kyeremeh
61′
62′
⚽ A. Zeqiri 0–1
D. Males
Petar Mamić 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Sergio López
Nicolas Gorobsov 🟨
65′
Nemanja Ljubisavljević 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 L. Millar
↦ D. Males
74′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ A. Zeqiri
D. Kazlauskas 🔁
↦ Renan Oliveira
77′
79′
🔁 F. Frei
↦ A. Diouf
G. Jarusevičius 🔁
↦ M. Milićković
85′
86′
🔁 A. Pelmard
↦ T. Xhaka
86′
🔁 K. Sène
↦ D. Ndoye
92′
🟨 Wouter Burger
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
7 J. Bopesu D
3 M. Pavelić D
26 N. Ljubisavljević D
12 P. Mamić D
23 O. Buff M
5 N. Gorobsov M
33 M. Milićković M
92 F. Ourega M
77 F. Kyeremeh F
10 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (12)
99 M. Oyewusi
9 D. Kazlauskas
96 G. Jarusevičius
27 J. Tadić
6 D. Kashken
24 M. Burba
22 O. Verbickas
4 K. Kažukolovas
15 I. Tatomirović
13 S. Mikoliūnas
25 T. Duka
81 M. Mikulenas

Coach: V. Cheburin

Basel

4-1-4-1
1 M. Hitz G
22 Sergio López D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Adams D
3 N. Katterbach D
34 T. Xhaka M
19 D. Males M
8 A. Diouf M
23 W. Burger M
27 D. Ndoye M
17 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (11)
7 L. Millar
14 B. Fink
20 F. Frei
21 A. Pelmard
26 K. Sène
11 Á. Szalai
40 L. Chipperfield
5 M. Lang
16 N. de Mol
13 M. Salvi
10 J. Augustin

Coach: A. Frei

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.