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Conference League
Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen
Lech Poznan
S S S T U
4–1
Full-time
Austria Vienna
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 22%
43%
0%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
43%
0%
Both score Ø 29%
57%
0%
Average goals
3,4
0,0
Scored
2,3
0,0
Conceded
1,1
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Austria Vienna
1–0 M. Ishak ⚽
João Amaral
27′
29′
⚽ M. Braunöder 1–1
Pedro Rebocho 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–1
B. Douglas 🔁
↦ Pedro Rebocho
46′
Filip Szymczak 🟨
58′
R. Murawski 🔁
↦ N. Kvekveskiri
58′
K. Velde 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
59′
61′
🔁 M. Husković
↦ A. Jukić
64′
🟨 Andreas Gruber
2–1 M. Skóraś ⚽
Joel Pereira
64′
Barry Douglas 🟨
66′
Filip Bednarek 🟨
68′
F. Marchwiński 🔁
↦ João Amaral
70′
71′
🔁 C. Keles
↦ D. Fitz
71′
🔁 G. Teigl
↦ J. Holland
3–1 K. Velde ⚽
M. Ishak
76′
77′
🔁 D. Kreiker
↦ M. Martins
77′
🔁 H. Tabaković
↦ A. Gruber
F. Dagerstål 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
86′
89′
🟨 Lucas Galvão
4–1 K. Velde ⚽
90′
91′
🟨 Matthias Braunöder
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
21 M. Skóraś M
30 N. Kvekveskiri M
6 J. Karlström M
17 F. Szymczak M
24 João Amaral F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
3 B. Douglas
22 R. Murawski
23 K. Velde
11 F. Marchwiński
25 F. Dagerstål
20 M. Pingot
1 A. Rudko
44 A. Czerwiński
14 G. Tsitaishvili
27 M. Żukowski
7 Afonso Sousa

Coach: J. van den Brom

Austria Vienna

4-3-3
1 C. Früchtl G
26 R. Ranftl D
20 L. Mühl D
3 Lucas Galvão D
66 M. Martins D
23 M. Braunöder M
30 M. Fischer M
8 J. Holland M
17 A. Gruber F
36 D. Fitz F
77 A. Jukić F
Bench (10)
9 M. Husković
7 C. Keles
39 G. Teigl
47 D. Kreiker
25 H. Tabaković
89 B. Koumetio
11 M. Polster
40 M. Meisl
27 R. Vučić
99 M. Kos

Coach: M. Schmid

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Kjærsgaard-Andersen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.