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Europa League
Referee: J Kehlet
Dynamo Kyiv
S S T T T
0–1
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dynamo Kyiv AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Europa League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dynamo Kyiv AEK Larnaca
8′
⚽ Á. Gyurcsó 0–1
Vitaliy Buyalskyi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
30′
Oleksandr Andriyevskiy 🟨
35′
42′
🟨 Ángel García
44′
🟨 Rafail Mamas
Half-time 0–1
A. Besedin 🔁
↦ D. Harmash
46′
63′
🟨 Pere Pons
64′
🔁 Gus Ledes
↦ I. Trichkovski
64′
🔁 Oier
↦ R. Mamas
O. Karavaev 🔁
↦ T. Kędziora
67′
V. Shepelev 🔁
↦ O. Andrievskyi
67′
73′
🔁 Rafael Lopes
↦ V. Olatunji
74′
🔁 G. Naoum
↦ Pere Pons
Sergiy Sydorchuk 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 N. Englezou
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
83′
🟨 Kenan Pirić
V. Vanat 🔁
↦ V. Kabaev
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dynamo Kyiv

4-4-2
71 D. Boyko G
94 T. Kędziora D
25 I. Zabarnyi D
34 O. Syrota D
44 V. Dubinchak D
15 V. Tsygankov M
5 S. Sydorchuk M
18 O. Andrievskyi M
7 V. Kabaev M
29 V. Buyalskyi F
19 D. Harmash F
Bench (12)
41 A. Besedin
20 O. Karavaev
8 V. Shepelev
11 V. Vanat
9 K. Parris
21 M. Kravchenko
24 O. Tymchyk
74 D. Ignatenko
14 O. Yatsyk
2 K. Vivcharenko
37 A. Tsarenko
6 M. Burda

Coach: M. Lucescu

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
24 K. Christoforou D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
17 Pere Pons M
66 R. Mamas M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
10 I. Trichkovski M
51 O. Altman M
19 V. Olatunji F
Bench (11)
7 Gus Ledes
6 Oier
12 Rafael Lopes
29 G. Naoum
21 N. Englezou
11 I. Faraj
38 I. Toumpas
30 H. Andreou
3 Mikel González
16 R. Rosales
25 M. Gordić

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.