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Europa League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Leverkusen
S S T T S
2–3
Full-time
Monaco
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,84 xG 0,73
53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Monaco
9′
⚽ L. Hrádecký 1–0
own goal
Edmond Tapsoba 🟨
14′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Ben Seghir
↦ T. Minamino
2–0 M. Diaby ⚽
J. Frimpong
48′
Florian Wirtz 🟨
50′
A. Adli 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
56′
3–0 F. Wirtz ⚽
A. Adli
59′
62′
🔁 W. Ben Yedder
↦ B. Embolo
Amine Adli 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
68′
71′
🔁 E. Matazo
↦ Mohamed Camara
71′
🔁 I. Jakobs
↦ A. Golovin
74′
⚽ K. Diatta 3–1
W. Ben Yedder
80′
🔁 C. Matsima
↦ R. Aguilar
84′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
P. Schick 🔁
↦ A. Hložek
88′
C. Hudson-Odoi 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
88′
92′
⚽ A. Disasi 3–2
E. Ben Seghir
97′
🟨 Krépin Diatta
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
30 J. Frimpong D
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
25 E. Palacios M
8 R. Andrich M
11 N. Amiri M
27 F. Wirtz M
19 M. Diaby M
23 A. Hložek F
Bench (11)
21 A. Adli
6 O. Kossounou
14 P. Schick
17 C. Hudson-Odoi
32 A. Azhil
5 M. Bakker
36 N. Lomb
28 P. Pentz
9 S. Azmoun
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
10 K. Demirbay

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
6 A. Disasi D
3 G. Maripán D
12 Caio Henrique D
27 K. Diatta M
19 Y. Fofana M
4 Mohamed Camara M
17 A. Golovin M
36 B. Embolo F
18 T. Minamino F
Bench (12)
44 E. Ben Seghir
10 W. Ben Yedder
15 E. Matazo
14 I. Jakobs
34 C. Matsima
99 Y. Okou
30 T. Didillon
21 M. Akliouche
77 Gelson Martins
31 K. Volland
9 M. Boadu
41 S. Magassa

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.