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Europa League
Referee: I Peljto
Shakhtar Donetsk
U T U U T
2–1
Full-time
Rennes
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,95 xG 1,72
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Rennes
1–0 D. Kryskiv ⚽
11′
Taras Stepanenko 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Benjamin Bourigeaud
2–0 A. Bondarenko ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🟨 Lesley Ugochukwu
59′
⚽ K. Toko Ekambi 2–1
J. Doku
71′
🔁 D. Doué
↦ A. Gouiri
71′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ J. Doku
I. Petryak 🔁
↦ D. Kryskiv
76′
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ L. Traoré
77′
77′
🔁 L. Majer
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
77′
🔁 B. Santamaría
↦ L. Ugochukwu
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 🟨
84′
Oleksandr Zubkov 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Warmed Omari
86′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ A. Kalimuendo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
81 A. Trubin G
26 Y. Konoplya D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviyenko D
15 B. Mykhailichenko D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 H. Sudakov M
16 D. Kryskiv M
2 L. Traoré F
Bench (12)
34 I. Petryak
14 D. Sikan
23 Lucas Taylor
30 A. Pyatov
29 E. Nazaryna
32 E. Kozik
44 Y. Rakitskyi
20 D. Topalov
17 N. Đurasek
18 K. Kelsy
1 O. Shevchenko
28 M. Farina

Coach: I. Jovičević

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
90 D. Spence D
23 W. Omari D
18 J. Belocian D
3 A. Truffert D
10 J. Doku M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
6 L. Ugochukwu M
17 K. Toko Ekambi M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
19 A. Gouiri F
Bench (12)
33 D. Doué
34 I. Salah
21 L. Majer
8 B. Santamaría
25 B. Meling
31 G. Doué
1 D. Alemdar
5 A. Theate
20 F. Tait
15 C. Wooh
89 R. Salin
2 J. Rodon

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.