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Referee: J Kehlet
AEK Larnaca
S T T U U
1–0
Full-time
Dnipro-1
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Dnipro-1
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 0,31
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -22 AEK Larnaca – Dnipro-1 3–0 18. Aug -22 Dnipro-1 – AEK Larnaca 1–2

Match report

AEK Larnaca Dnipro-1
19′
🟨 Yanis Hamache
Ángel García 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Gorbunov
↦ Y. Hamache
46′
🔁 D. Blanco
↦ Peglow
58′
🔁 V. Tanchyk
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
59′
🟨 Volodymyr Tanchyk
N. Nikolić 🔁
↦ I. Trichkovski
65′
1–0 Ángel García ⚽
Gus Ledes
84′
Ismael Casas 🔁
↦ M. Jakoliš
88′
Oier 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
88′
89′
🔁 O. Nazarenko
↦ A. Dovbyk
89′
🔁 I. Kogut
↦ O. Pikhalyonok
Mikel González 🔁
↦ Gus Ledes
92′
N. Englezou 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
16 R. Rosales D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
17 Pere Pons M
7 Gus Ledes M
11 I. Faraj M
10 I. Trichkovski M
44 M. Jakoliš M
12 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (11)
99 N. Nikolić
5 Ismael Casas
6 Oier
3 Mikel González
21 N. Englezou
66 R. Mamas
30 H. Andreou
40 D. Stylianidis
29 G. Naoum
24 K. Christoforou
38 I. Toumpas

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Dnipro-1

4-2-3-1
93 Max Walef G
27 Hayner D
39 O. Svatok D
5 E. Sarapyi D
13 Y. Hamache D
18 R. Babenko M
22 V. Rubchynskyi M
9 O. Hutsulyak M
8 O. Pikhalyonok M
10 Peglow M
7 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (9)
20 S. Gorbunov
23 D. Blanco
34 V. Tanchyk
29 O. Nazarenko
25 I. Kogut
1 V. Rybak
2 M. Kononov
3 V. Adamyuk
12 Y. Kinareykin

Coach: O. Kucher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.