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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Monaco
S U U S U
3–2
Full-time
Auxerre
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
55%
15%
Points per game
1,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 63%
70%
55%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,23 xG 1,38
43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 4. · Auxerre 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 15 3 2 +34 -0.8 48
2 Marseille 21 14 4 3 +25 +0.3 46
3 Lens 20 13 6 1 +19 +1.7 45
4 Monaco 20 11 5 4 +16 +0.1 38
5 Rennes 20 11 4 5 +15 +0.6 37
6 Lille 21 10 5 6 +9 +0.5 35
7 Lorient 21 10 5 6 +1 -4.2 35
8 Clermont 21 8 6 7 -3 +0.7 30
9 Reims 21 6 11 4 +0 +4.4 29
10 Toulouse 21 8 5 8 -1 +1.3 29
11 Lyon 20 8 4 8 +7 +0.2 28
12 Nice 20 7 7 6 +3 -0.3 28
13 Nantes 21 4 10 7 -5 -1.3 22
14 Montpellier 20 6 2 12 -10 -1.1 20
15 Troyes 21 4 7 10 -13 -2.7 19
16 Brest 20 4 6 10 -11 +0.9 18
17 Ajaccio 21 5 3 13 -19 +0.8 18
18 Strasbourg 20 2 9 9 -11 -0.2 15
19 Auxerre 20 3 4 13 -27 +1.1 13
20 Angers 21 2 2 17 -29 -1.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Dec -22 Auxerre – Monaco 2–3

Match report

Monaco Auxerre
1–0 W. Ben Yedder
Y. Fofana
11′
23′
🔁 Nuno da Costa
↦ G. Perrin
2–0 E. Ben Seghir
Caio Henrique
30′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Jubal
↦ Y. MChangama
63′
🔁 M. Autret
↦ L. Sinayoko
63′
🔁 M. Abline
↦ M. Niang
I. Jakobs 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
64′
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
65′
68′
M. Abline 2–1
Nuno da Costa
69′
🔁 H. Massengo
↦ J. Jeanvier
R. Aguilar 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
75′
3–1 B. Embolo
Vanderson
82′
84′
Nuno da Costa 3–2
H. Sakhi
K. Volland 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-2-2
16 A. Nübel G
2 Vanderson D
6 A. Disasi D
3 G. Maripán D
12 Caio Henrique D
19 Y. Fofana M
4 Mohamed Camara M
77 Gelson Martins M
17 A. Golovin M
44 E. Ben Seghir F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
14 I. Jakobs
36 B. Embolo
26 R. Aguilar
31 K. Volland
9 M. Boadu
15 E. Matazo
30 T. Didillon
18 T. Minamino
23 M. Sarr

Coach: P. Clement

Auxerre

4-3-3
1 I. Radu G
13 A. Zedadka D
27 J. Jeanvier D
95 S. Touré D
14 G. Mensah D
6 Y. M'Changama M
12 B. Touré M
22 H. Sakhi M
17 L. Sinayoko F
11 M. Niang F
10 G. Perrin F
Bench (9)
9 Nuno da Costa
4 Jubal
29 M. Autret
19 M. Abline
80 H. Massengo
16 D. Léon
21 R. Dugimont
24 K. Boto
28 Ousmane Camara

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,51
B
8,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.