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Europa League
Referee: D Higler
Salzburg
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Roma
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,83 xG 1,76
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Roma
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Z. Çelik
↦ P. Dybala
J. Adamu 🔁
↦ Fernando
60′
74′
🔁 A. Belotti
↦ T. Abraham
74′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ L. Pellegrini
O. Gloukh 🔁
↦ L. Sučić
82′
S. Koïta 🔁
↦ N. Oka
82′
Strahinja Pavlović 🟨
84′
Sekou Koita 🟨
86′
1–0 N. Capaldo ⚽
S. Pavlović
88′
92′
🟨 Roger Ibañez
Oscar Gloch 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Ulmer D
7 N. Capaldo M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
13 N. Seiwald M
21 L. Sučić M
77 N. Okafor F
11 Fernando F
Bench (12)
9 J. Adamu
37 O. Gloukh
20 S. Koïta
6 S. Baidoo
30 B. Šeško
2 I. Van der Brempt
5 J. Onguéné
95 Bernardo
40 A. Stejskal
33 A. Walke
14 M. Kjærgaard
32 F. Amankwah

Coach: M. Jaissle

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
59 N. Zalewski M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
92 S. El Shaarawy M
21 P. Dybala F
7 L. Pellegrini F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
19 Z. Çelik
11 A. Belotti
25 G. Wijnaldum
14 Diego Llorente
62 C. Volpato
63 P. Boer
24 M. Kumbulla
52 E. Bove
37 L. Spinazzola
20 M. Camara
2 R. Karsdorp
99 M. Svilar

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.