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Europa League
Referee: D Orsato
PSV Eindhoven
U S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Sevilla
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 79%
57%
100%
Points per game
1,9
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
57%
100%
Both score Ø 22%
43%
0%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
2,1
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,66 xG 0,66
50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -23 Sevilla – PSV Eindhoven 3–0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Sevilla
33′
🟨 Marcos Acuña
Half-time 0–0
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ P. van Aanholt
62′
Fábio Silva 🔁
↦ É. Gutiérrez
62′
68′
🔁 Suso
↦ Óliver Torres
69′
🔁 L. Ocampos
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
1–0 L. de Jong ⚽
Fábio Silva
77′
79′
🟨 Tanguy Nianzou
80′
🔁 G. Montiel
↦ Jesús Navas
82′
🟨 Marko Dmitrović
Phillipp Mwene 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ Bryan Gil
92′
🟨 Rafa Mir
2–0 Fábio Silva ⚽
X. Simons
95′
Xavi Simons 🟨
96′
Mauro Júnior 🟥
97′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
30 P. van Aanholt D
20 G. Til M
23 J. Veerman M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
27 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
7 X. Simons F
Bench (12)
17 Mauro Júnior
10 Fábio Silva
37 R. Ledezma
3 J. Teze
28 I. Saibari
16 J. Drommel
53 J. Seelt
4 A. Obispo
6 I. Sangaré
24 B. Waterman
18 O. Boscagli
44 J. van Duiven

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
14 T. Nianzou D
20 Fernando D
3 Alex Telles D
16 Jesús Navas M
8 Joan Jordán M
10 I. Rakitić M
19 M. Acuña M
21 Óliver Torres F
25 Bryan Gil F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (8)
7 Suso
55 L. Ocampos
2 G. Montiel
12 Rafa Mir
43 Manu Bueno
38 Diego Hormigo
31 Alberto Flores
27 Carlos Álvarez

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.