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Europa League
Referee: S Vinčić
Roma
T S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
71%
0%
Both score Ø 36%
71%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,77 xG 1,25
45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -23 Salzburg – Roma 1–0

Match report

Roma Salzburg
Roger Ibañez 🟨
4′
Lorenzo Pellegrini 🟨
5′
1–0 A. Belotti ⚽
33′
2–0 P. Dybala ⚽
L. Spinazzola
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Sučić
↦ M. Kjærgaard
Leonardo Spinazzola 🟨
54′
Nicola Zalewski 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 I. Van der Brempt
↦ A. Dedić
74′
🔁 B. Šeško
↦ J. Adamu
75′
🔁 O. Gloukh
↦ N. Seiwald
G. Wijnaldum 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
81′
R. Karsdorp 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
81′
84′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ N. Capaldo
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
87′
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
59 N. Zalewski M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 P. Dybala F
7 L. Pellegrini F
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
25 G. Wijnaldum
2 R. Karsdorp
9 T. Abraham
92 S. El Shaarawy
63 P. Boer
62 C. Volpato
19 Z. Çelik
20 M. Camara
99 M. Svilar
14 Diego Llorente
24 M. Kumbulla
52 E. Bove

Coach: José Mourinho

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
95 Bernardo D
17 A. Ulmer D
7 N. Capaldo M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
13 N. Seiwald M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
77 N. Okafor F
9 J. Adamu F
Bench (10)
21 L. Sučić
2 I. Van der Brempt
30 B. Šeško
37 O. Gloukh
20 S. Koïta
5 J. Onguéné
6 S. Baidoo
33 A. Walke
40 A. Stejskal
32 F. Amankwah

Coach: M. Jaissle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.