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Conference League
Referee: A Treimanis
Dnipro-1
U S S T T
0–0
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dnipro-1 AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
57%
0%
Both score Ø 29%
57%
0%
Average goals
2,4
1,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,66 xG 0,28
62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 8
12 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -23 AEK Larnaca – Dnipro-1 1–0 25. Aug -22 AEK Larnaca – Dnipro-1 3–0 18. Aug -22 Dnipro-1 – AEK Larnaca 1–2

Match report

Dnipro-1 AEK Larnaca
13′
🟨 Ángel García
Half-time 0–0
V. Tanchyk 🔁
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
46′
Peglow 🟨
56′
Hayner 🟨
61′
63′
🟨 Nenad Tomović
I. Kogut 🔁
↦ Hayner
73′
74′
🔁 Ismael Casas
↦ M. Jakoliš
Oleksiy Gutsulyak 🟨
76′
82′
🟨 Pere Pons
83′
🔁 R. Mamas
↦ Oier
O. Nazarenko 🔁
↦ Peglow
84′
84′
🔁 N. Nikolić
↦ I. Faraj
M. Kononov 🔁
↦ D. Blanco
90′
91′
🔁 N. Englezou
↦ Rafael Lopes
91′
🔁 Mikel González
↦ Pere Pons
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dnipro-1

4-2-3-1
93 Max Walef G
27 Hayner D
39 O. Svatok D
5 E. Sarapyi D
13 Y. Hamache D
22 V. Rubchynskyi M
18 R. Babenko M
23 D. Blanco M
8 O. Pikhalyonok M
10 Peglow M
9 O. Gutsulyak F
Bench (7)
34 V. Tanchyk
25 I. Kogut
29 O. Nazarenko
2 M. Kononov
12 Y. Kinareykin
1 V. Rybak
20 S. Gorbunov

Coach: O. Kucher

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
16 R. Rosales D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
17 Pere Pons M
7 Gus Ledes M
11 I. Faraj M
6 Oier M
44 M. Jakoliš M
12 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (11)
5 Ismael Casas
66 R. Mamas
99 N. Nikolić
21 N. Englezou
3 Mikel González
29 G. Naoum
10 I. Trichkovski
24 K. Christoforou
30 H. Andreou
40 D. Stylianidis
38 I. Toumpas

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.