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Europa League
Referee: F Zwayer
Man United
S S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,80 xG 0,64
55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United Sevilla
11′
🟨 Gonzalo Montiel
1–0 M. Sabitzer ⚽
Bruno Fernandes
14′
2–0 M. Sabitzer ⚽
A. Martial
21′
25′
🟨 Ivan Rakitić
38′
🟨 Erik Lamela
Bruno Fernandes 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–0
H. Maguire 🔁
↦ R. Varane
46′
46′
🔁 Jesús Navas
↦ Óliver Torres
58′
🟨 Nemanja Gudelj
A. Elanga 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
62′
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ Bruno Fernandes
62′
W. Weghorst 🔁
↦ A. Martial
62′
Antony 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ E. Lamela
72′
🟨 Marcos Acuña
73′
🔁 Suso
↦ T. Nianzou
F. Pellistri 🔁
↦ Antony
81′
84′
⚽ T. Malacia 3–0
own goal
Facundo Pellistri 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 P. Gómez
↦ G. Montiel
92′
⚽ H. Maguire 4–0
own goal
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
19 R. Varane D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
12 T. Malacia D
18 Casemiro M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
21 Antony M
15 M. Sabitzer M
25 J. Sancho M
9 A. Martial F
Bench (11)
5 H. Maguire
36 A. Elanga
14 C. Eriksen
27 W. Weghorst
28 F. Pellistri
20 Diogo Dalot
31 J. Butland
2 V. Lindelöf
17 Fred
50 R. Vítek
55 Zidane Iqbal

Coach: E. ten Hag

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
2 G. Montiel D
14 T. Nianzou D
23 Marcão D
19 M. Acuña D
20 Fernando M
6 N. Gudelj M
55 L. Ocampos M
10 I. Rakitić M
21 Óliver Torres M
17 E. Lamela F
Bench (11)
16 Jesús Navas
15 Y. En-Nesyri
7 Suso
24 P. Gómez
31 Alberto Flores
1 M. Dmitrović
25 Bryan Gil
3 Alex Telles
12 Rafa Mir
4 K. Rekik
44 L. Badé

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.