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Conference League
Referee: G Nyberg
Basel
U U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Nice
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 16/10 matches
Win Ø 47%
44%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,47 xG 1,15
39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Basel Nice
17′
🟨 Ayoub Amraoui
24′
🟨 Jean-Clair Todibo
1–0 Z. Amdouni ⚽
26′
38′
⚽ T. Moffi 1–1
Half-time 1–2
46′
⚽ T. Moffi 1–2
G. Laborde
46′
🔁 M. Bard
↦ A. Amraoui
B. Fink 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
67′
2–2 Z. Amdouni ⚽
M. Lang
71′
Sergio López 🟨
79′
84′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ T. Moffi
84′
🔁 A. Mendy
↦ P. Rosario
L. Millar 🔁
↦ Z. Amdouni
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-4-2
1 M. Hitz G
5 M. Lang D
15 K. Adams D
21 A. Pelmard D
22 Sergio López D
27 D. Ndoye M
8 A. Diouf M
34 T. Xhaka M
23 W. Burger M
9 Z. Amdouni F
17 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (10)
14 B. Fink
7 L. Millar
90 Hugo Novoa
30 A. Kade
18 E. Essiam
10 J. Augustin
28 H. Vogel
19 D. Males
16 N. de Mol
13 M. Salvi

Coach: H. Vogel

Nice

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
8 P. Rosario D
25 J. Todibo D
4 Dante D
38 A. Amraoui D
16 A. Ramsey M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye M
28 H. Boudaoui M
24 G. Laborde F
9 T. Moffi F
19 K. Thuram F
Bench (10)
26 M. Bard
14 B. Brahimi
33 A. Mendy
35 B. Bouanani
31 T. Trinker
34 Y. Nahounou
77 T. Boulhendi
90 M. Bułka
37 R. Belahyane
15 J. Bryan

Coach: D. Digard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.