← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: D Siebert
Anderlecht
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Anderlecht AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 68%
50%
86%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
29%
71%
Both score Ø 40%
29%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,75 xG 0,70
49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Anderlecht AZ Alkmaar
1–0 A. Murillo ⚽
A. Dreyer
22′
31′
🟨 Sam Beukema
42′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
Half-time 1–0
B. Raman 🔁
↦ I. Slimani
66′
2–0 M. Ashimeru ⚽
F. Amuzu
70′
Lior Refaelov 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 J. Karlsson
↦ J. Odgaard
75′
🔁 D. Mihailovic
↦ S. Mijnans
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
77′
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
77′
79′
🟨 Tijjani Reijnders
M. Kana 🔁
↦ A. Diawara
83′
83′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ M. van Brederode
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
21 A. Diawara M
18 M. Ashimeru M
11 L. Refaelov M
36 A. Dreyer F
13 I. Slimani F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (12)
9 B. Raman
61 K. Arnstad
29 M. Stroeykens
55 M. Kana
26 C. Coosemans
27 N. Sadiki
54 K. Sardella
24 I. Abdulrazak
32 N. Angulo
3 H. Delcroix
30 H. Van Crombrugge
71 T. Leoni

Coach: B. Riemer

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
31 S. Beukema D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
8 J. Clasie M
16 S. Mijnans M
6 T. Reijnders M
7 J. Odgaard F
9 V. Pavlidis F
19 M. van Brederode F
Bench (12)
11 J. Karlsson
14 D. Mihailovic
23 M. Lahdo
17 Y. Barası
25 R. Bazoer
45 R. Owusu-Oduro
12 H. Verhulst
35 M. Meerdink
34 M. de Wit
27 Z. Vanheusden
28 Z. Buurmeester
46 W. Goes

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.