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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Feyenoord
S S S S T
5–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 53%
70%
35%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
56%
62%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Waalwijk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 27 19 7 1 +36 64
2 Ajax 28 17 8 3 +48 59
3 PSV Eindhoven 28 18 5 5 +42 59
4 AZ Alkmaar 28 16 6 6 +21 54
5 Twente 25 14 7 4 +27 49
6 Sparta Rotterdam 25 14 6 5 +18 48
7 Utrecht 26 9 9 8 -3 36
8 Nijmegen 28 7 14 7 +7 35
9 Waalwijk 26 9 8 9 +1 35
10 Heerenveen 26 9 7 10 -5 34
11 For Sittard 28 9 5 14 -16 32
12 Go Ahead Eagles 27 7 9 11 -10 30
13 Vitesse 28 6 9 13 -15 27
14 Volendam 28 7 6 15 -26 27
15 FC Emmen 28 5 10 13 -21 25
16 Excelsior 28 7 3 18 -40 24
17 Groningen 28 4 5 19 -30 17
18 Cambuur 28 4 4 20 -34 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Waalwijk
0–1 Y. Oukili
own goal
29′
1–1 Igor Paixão
31′
2–1 Q. Hartman
O. Idrissi
39′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 S. Bakari
↦ F. Jozefzoon
46′
🔁 T. Lutonda
↦ L. Wouters
46′
🔁 D. Van den Buijs
↦ J. Lelieveld
Dávid Hancko 🟨
51′
3–1 Igor Paixão
S. Giménez
53′
4–1 S. Giménez
O. Kökçü
61′
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ L. Geertruida
63′
Danilo 🔁
↦ Q. Hartman
63′
M. López 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
63′
68′
Julen Lobete 4–2
Y. Oukili
69′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ P. Clement
E. Bullaude 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
71′
76′
🔁 K. Felida
↦ Y. Oukili
M. Taabouni 🔁
↦ M. Wieffer
77′
83′
🟨 Julen Lobete
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
4 L. Geertruida D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
17 S. Szymański M
20 M. Wieffer M
10 O. Kökçü M
14 Igor Paixão F
29 S. Giménez F
26 O. Idrissi F
Bench (12)
2 M. Pedersen
9 Danilo
15 M. López
30 E. Bullaude
25 M. Taabouni
23 P. Wålemark
28 N. Kasanwirjo
21 O. Marciano
6 J. Rasmussen
49 T. Troost
11 J. Dilrosun
7 A. Jahanbakhsh

Coach: A. Slot

Waalwijk

4-3-3
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
34 L. Wouters D
33 Y. Oukili M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
20 M. Seuntjens F
7 Julen Lobete F
10 F. Jozefzoon F
Bench (12)
22 S. Bakari
5 T. Lutonda
24 D. Van den Buijs
8 P. Vroegh
35 K. Felida
21 Joel Pereira
9 M. Biereth
15 L. Nieuwpoort
17 R. Kuijpers
13 M. Spenkelink
19 Z. Bakkali
26 S. Augustijns

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,89
B
14,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.