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Europa League
Referee: R Obrenović
Freiburg
T T T U U
3–2
Full-time
Lens
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 29%
57%
0%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
71%
0%
Both score Ø 22%
43%
0%
Average goals
3,4
0,0
Scored
2,4
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,22 xG 0,83
49% Possession 51%
24 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -24 Lens – Freiburg 0–0

Match report

Freiburg Lens
28′
⚽ David Pereira da Costa 0–1
Lucas Höler 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ J. Makengo
46′
N. Weißhaupt 🔁
↦ K. Sildillia
46′
47′
⚽ E. Wahi 0–2
Lukas Kübler 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Przemysław Frankowski
67′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
1–2 R. Sallai ⚽
67′
73′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ P. Frankowski
74′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ E. Wahi
80′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ J. Chávez
81′
🔁 A. Fulgini
↦ David Pereira da Costa
V. Grifo 🔁
↦ M. Röhl
86′
M. Ginter 🔁
↦ M. Gulde
86′
2–2 R. Sallai ⚽
92′
95′
🟨 Angelo Fulgini
3–2 M. Gregoritsch ⚽
L. Höler
99′
C. Günter 🔁
↦ L. Kübler
101′
103′
🔁 A. Diouf
↦ J. Gradit
103′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ S. Abdul Samed
F. Muslija 🔁
↦ R. Sallai
105′
107′
🟨 Facundo Medina
122′
🟨 Brice Samba
122′
🟨 Wesley Saïd
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kübler D
5 M. Gulde D
25 K. Sildillia D
33 J. Makengo D
42 R. Doan M
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
34 M. Röhl M
22 R. Sallai F
9 L. Höler F
Bench (10)
38 M. Gregoritsch
7 N. Weißhaupt
32 V. Grifo
28 M. Ginter
30 C. Günter
23 F. Muslija
31 B. Uphoff
21 F. Müller
6 A. Szalai
20 J. Adamu

Coach: C. Streich

Lens

3-4-1-2
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
25 A. Khusanov D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
23 N. El Aynaoui M
13 J. Chávez M
10 David Pereira da Costa F
7 F. Sotoca F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (11)
2 R. Aguilar
27 M. Guilavogui
21 M. Haïdara
11 A. Fulgini
18 A. Diouf
22 W. Saïd
16 J. Leca
26 N. Mendy
28 A. Thomasson
32 A. Sishuba
40 Y. Pandor

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.