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Europa League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Rennes
S S S T S
3–2
Full-time
Milan
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 79%
57%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 93%
86%
100%
Both score Ø 22%
43%
0%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,9
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,10 xG 1,80
55% Possession 45%
24 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
11 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -24 Milan – Rennes 3–0

Match report

Rennes Milan
1–0 B. Bourigeaud ⚽
B. Santamaría
11′
22′
⚽ L. Jović 1–1
T. Hernández
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Alessandro Florenzi
2–1 B. Bourigeaud ⚽
54′
A. Matusiwa 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
57′
A. Seidu 🔁
↦ G. Doué
57′
58′
⚽ Rafael Leão 2–2
62′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ I. Bennacer
62′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ C. Pulišić
62′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ Rafael Leão
Arnaud Kalimuendo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
67′
3–2 B. Bourigeaud ⚽
68′
Amine Gouiri 🟨
69′
L. Blas 🔁
↦ D. Doué
71′
I. Salah 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
71′
79′
🟨 Mike Maignan
80′
🔁 M. Thiaw
↦ Y. Musah
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ A. Gouiri
84′
84′
🔁 F. Terracciano
↦ A. Florenzi
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-3-3
30 S. Mandanda G
17 G. Doué D
23 W. Omari D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
8 B. Santamaría M
33 D. Doué M
10 A. Gouiri F
9 A. Kalimuendo F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (11)
6 A. Matusiwa
36 A. Seidu
11 L. Blas
34 I. Salah
99 B. Yıldırım
39 M. Lambourde
1 G. Gallon
15 C. Wooh
40 G. Lembet
38 D. Cissé
16 J. Belocian

Coach: J. Stéphan

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
42 A. Florenzi D
24 S. Kjær D
46 M. Gabbia D
19 T. Hernández D
4 I. Bennacer M
14 T. Reijnders M
11 C. Pulišić M
80 Y. Musah M
10 Rafael Leão M
15 L. Jović F
Bench (12)
8 R. Loftus-Cheek
21 S. Chukwueze
17 N. Okafor
28 M. Thiaw
38 F. Terracciano
83 A. Mirante
81 V. Eletu
84 C. Nsiala-Makengo
95 D. Bartesaghi
57 M. Sportiello
7 Y. Adli
9 O. Giroud

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.