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Europa League
Referee: D Massa
Rangers
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
33%
80%
Both score Ø 57%
33%
80%
Average goals
1,3
3,4
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,42 xG 0,61
41% Possession 59%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rangers Sparta Praha
1–0 Danilo
11′
2–0 T. Cantwell
Danilo
20′
37′
🟨 James Gomez
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Martin Vitík
46′
🔁 Q. Laçi
↦ V. Olatunji
46′
🔁 T. Wiesner
↦ J. Gomez
Borna Barišić 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 L. Haraslín
↦ L. Sadílek
67′
🔁 V. Sejk
↦ J. Kuchta
R. McCausland 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
69′
77′
L. Haraslín 2–1
Á. Preciado
79′
🟨 Qazim Laci
Danilo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
80′
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ Danilo
85′
T. Lawrence 🔁
↦ A. Sima
85′
85′
🔁 P. Vydra
↦ Q. Laçi
James Tavernier 🟨
89′
Sam Lammers 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Ángelo Preciado
J. Cifuentes 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
95′
Connor Goldson 🟨
99′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
26 B. Davies D
31 B. Barišić D
4 J. Lundstram M
8 R. Jack M
13 T. Cantwell M
14 S. Lammers M
19 A. Sima M
99 Danilo F
Bench (10)
45 R. McCausland
9 C. Dessers
11 T. Lawrence
15 J. Cifuentes
32 K. Wright
21 D. Sterling
44 A. Devine
28 R. McCrorie
25 K. Roofe
38 L. King

Coach: P. Clement

Sparta Praha

3-4-2-1
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
25 A. Sørensen D
5 J. Gomez D
2 Á. Preciado M
18 L. Sadílek M
6 K. Kairinen M
30 J. Zelený M
9 J. Kuchta F
14 V. Birmančević F
7 V. Olatunji F
Bench (11)
20 Q. Laçi
28 T. Wiesner
22 L. Haraslín
39 V. Sejk
26 P. Vydra
29 M. Ševčík
8 D. Pavelka
24 V. Vorel
19 J. Mejdr
10 A. Karabec
44 J. Surovčík

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.