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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Ankaragücü
U S T U T
0–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 54%
24%
84%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
36%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,34 xG 2,46
40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 27
3 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 11
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 16
4 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 13. · Galatasaray 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 26 21 4 1 +47 +46.2 67
2 Galatasaray 25 21 3 1 +38 +32.9 66
3 Trabzonspor 26 13 4 9 +9 +0.3 43
4 Besiktas 25 12 4 9 +4 +8.1 40
5 Kasimpasa 26 11 6 9 -1 -7.8 39
6 Rizespor 26 10 6 10 -9 -5.0 36
7 Antalyaspor 26 8 11 7 +2 +2.0 35
8 Sivasspor 26 8 10 8 -6 -6.0 34
9 Buyuksehyr 25 9 6 10 +1 -1.8 33
10 Ad. Demirspor 26 7 11 8 +4 -0.9 32
11 Kayserispor 25 8 8 9 -5 -6.3 32
12 Samsunspor 26 8 6 12 -6 +2.6 30
13 Ankaragücü 25 6 11 8 +1 -3.0 29
14 Hatayspor 26 6 11 9 -3 -1.1 29
15 Alanyaspor 26 6 11 9 -8 +0.1 29
16 Karagumruk 26 7 7 12 +1 -8.2 28
17 Gaziantep 26 7 7 12 -7 -10.1 28
18 Pendikspor 26 6 8 12 -20 -10.0 26
19 Konyaspor 25 5 10 10 -13 -12.5 25
20 İstanbulspor 26 3 6 17 -29 -19.7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Galatasaray
13′
K. Demirbay 0–1
D. Mertens
14′
D. Sánchez 0–2
B. Yılmaz
39′
M. Icardi 0–3
Half-time 0–3
T. Ciğerci 🔁
↦ K. Karataş
46′
O. Moruțan 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
46′
M. Çetin 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
46′
59′
🟨 Derrick Köhn
61′
🔁 W. Zaha
↦ K. Demirbay
61′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ D. Mertens
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ R. Cephas
67′
77′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ D. Sánchez
77′
🔁 E. Aydın
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
C. Bassogog 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
78′
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 A. Bülbül
↦ B. Yılmaz
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-3-3
99 B. Güngördü G
70 S. Kitsiou D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
35 K. Karataş D
23 A. Güneren M
8 Pedrinho M
10 E. Bekiroğlu M
29 R. Cephas
22 A. Sowe F
17 R. Saponara F
Bench (10)
30 T. Ciğerci
80 O. Moruțan
45 M. Çetin
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
13 C. Bassogog
9 R. Bajić
19 A. Flips
27 A. Ünyay
25 E. Özbir
4 A. Çankaya

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
53 B. Yılmaz D
6 D. Sánchez D
25 V. Nelsson D
17 D. Köhn D
18 B. Kutlu M
8 K. Demirbay M
20 Tetê M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
14 W. Zaha
27 Sérgio Oliveira
95 Carlos Vinícius
5 E. Aydın
72 A. Bülbül
58 A. Yeşilyurt
34 L. Torreira
56 B. Demiroğlu
81 H. Akman
19 G. Güvenç

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,16
U
4,37
B ✓
1,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.