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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Leverkusen

S S S U U

2–2

Full-time

Stuttgart

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

70%

73%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,43 xG 1,66

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 1. · Stuttgart 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leverkusen	30	25	5	0	+55	+38.3	80
2	Bayern Munich	31	22	3	6	+51	+55.0	69
3	Stuttgart	30	20	3	7	+32	+31.9	63
4	RB Leipzig	31	19	5	7	+38	+27.0	62
5	Dortmund	31	16	9	6	+20	+9.6	57
6	Ein Frankfurt	31	11	12	8	+5	-6.0	45
7	Freiburg	31	11	7	13	-12	-1.0	40
8	Augsburg	31	10	9	12	-4	-7.1	39
9	Hoffenheim	31	11	6	14	-8	-10.9	39
10	Werder Bremen	31	10	7	14	-9	-10.5	37
11	Heidenheim	30	8	10	12	-9	-21.9	34
12	Wolfsburg	31	9	7	15	-14	-5.3	34
13	M'gladbach	30	7	10	13	-7	-6.8	31
14	Bochum	31	6	12	13	-25	-15.9	30
15	Union Berlin	30	8	5	17	-24	-10.6	29
16	Mainz	30	5	12	13	-17	-1.2	27
17	FC Koln	30	4	10	16	-30	-30.2	22
18	Darmstadt	30	3	8	19	-42	-34.2	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leverkusen	15	13	2	0	+35	+27.1	41
2	Bayern Munich	16	13	1	2	+39	+35.7	40
3	Stuttgart	15	11	3	1	+29	+24.7	36
4	RB Leipzig	16	11	3	2	+28	+20.8	36
5	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	7	1	+12	+6.7	28
6	Dortmund	15	8	3	4	+7	+10.9	27
7	Augsburg	16	6	6	4	+1	-1.4	24
8	Bochum	16	5	8	3	+2	+4.6	23
9	Heidenheim	15	6	4	5	+1	-6.1	22
10	Werder Bremen	15	6	3	6	+0	-1.0	21
11	Freiburg	16	5	6	5	-2	+7.6	21
12	Union Berlin	15	6	2	7	-8	-4.0	20
13	Mainz	15	5	4	6	+2	+10.4	19
14	M'gladbach	15	5	4	6	+1	+5.5	19
15	Wolfsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	-0.9	19
16	Hoffenheim	15	5	4	6	-2	+3.4	19
17	FC Koln	15	3	3	9	-14	-11.3	12
18	Darmstadt	15	1	3	11	-22	-10.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leverkusen	15	12	3	0	+20	+11.2	39
2	Dortmund	16	8	6	2	+13	-1.3	30
3	Bayern Munich	15	9	2	4	+12	+19.3	29
4	Stuttgart	15	9	0	6	+3	+7.2	27
5	RB Leipzig	15	8	2	5	+10	+6.2	26
6	Hoffenheim	16	6	2	8	-6	-14.3	20
7	Freiburg	15	6	1	8	-10	-8.6	19
8	Ein Frankfurt	16	4	5	7	-7	-12.8	17
9	Werder Bremen	16	4	4	8	-9	-9.5	16
10	Augsburg	15	4	3	8	-5	-5.8	15
11	Wolfsburg	16	4	3	9	-13	-4.5	15
12	M'gladbach	15	2	6	7	-8	-12.3	12
13	Heidenheim	15	2	6	7	-10	-15.8	12
14	Darmstadt	15	2	5	8	-20	-23.7	11
15	FC Koln	15	1	7	7	-16	-18.9	10
16	Union Berlin	15	2	3	10	-16	-6.6	9
17	Mainz	15	0	8	7	-19	-11.6	8
18	Bochum	15	1	4	10	-27	-20.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.