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Conference League
Referee: G Nuza
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puskas Academy Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Puskas Academy Ararat-Armenia
1–0 Z. Nagy
8′
20′
🟨 Armen Ambartsumyan
30′
🟨 Alexis Rodríguez
40′
A. Serobyan 1–1
44′
H. Harutyunyan 1–2
Half-time 1–2
J. Puljić 🔁
↦ L. Colley
46′
2–2 Z. Nagy
47′
58′
🔁 E. Ocansey
↦ A. Rodríguez
58′
🔁 J. Duarte
↦ A. Ambartsumyan
Roland Szolnoki 🟨
62′
62′
🟥 Amos Nondi
J. Levi 🔁
↦ M. Soisalo
63′
G. Komáromi 🔁
↦ R. Szolnoki
64′
Jakov Puljić ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
68′
71′
🔁 A. Tera
↦ H. Harutyunyan
76′
🔁 M. Gbomadu
↦ E. Grigoryan
A. Favorov 🔁
↦ J. Plšek
83′
84′
J. Duarte 2–3
87′
🟨 Jonathan Duarte
György Komáromi 🟨
89′
3–3 A. Favorov
94′
Artem Favorov 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Puskas Academy

4-2-3-1
91 Á. Pécsi G
23 Q. Maceiras D
14 W. Golla D
17 P. Stronati D
33 B. Ormonde-Ottewill D
22 R. Szolnoki M
16 U. Nissilä M
20 M. Soisalo M
15 J. Plšek M
25 Z. Nagy M
9 L. Colley F
Bench (12)
21 J. Puljić
10 J. Levi
7 G. Komáromi
19 A. Favorov
31 Z. Bévárdi
24 T. Markek
77 K. Mondovics
76 B. Pál
88 B. Vékony
55 V. Vitályos
66 A. Markgráf
8 D. Kocsis

Coach: Z. Hornyák

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
31 D. Kucher G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
3 J. Julio D
4 João Queirós D
16 E. Grigoryan D
8 H. Harutyunyan M
12 A. Nondi M
10 A. Ambartsumyan M
9 A. Serobyan F
7 A. Rodríguez F
15 T. Yenne F
Bench (10)
33 E. Ocansey
11 J. Duarte
20 A. Tera
17 M. Gbomadu
5 H. Hakobyan
24 A. Beglaryan
1 R. Manasyan
19 K. Muradyan
21 N. Alaverdyan
6 M. Ayvazyan

Coach: V. Minasyan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nuza · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.