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Conference League
Referee: R Valikonis
Larne
T T T T S
0–1
Full-time
Ballkani
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne Ballkani
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 Ballkani – Larne 0–1 3. Aug -23 Larne – Ballkani 1–4 25. Jul -23 Ballkani – Larne 3–0

Match report

Larne Ballkani
44′
🟨 Arber Potoku
45′
⚽ W. Hamidi 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Walid Hamidi
Levi Ives 🟨
47′
Chris Gallagher 🟨
63′
P. O'Neill 🔁
↦ M. Lusty
73′
M. Randall 🔁
↦ D. Sloan
73′
Paul O'Neill 🟨
79′
85′
🔁 B. Tolaj
↦ A. Kryeziu
92′
🟨 Lindon Emërllahu
Mark Randall 🟨
100′
101′
🔁 Giovanni
↦ G. Smajli
108′
🔁 E. Sinani
↦ M. Ismajlgeci
S. Want 🔁
↦ L. Ives
111′
Tomas Cosgrove 🟨
121′
Shaun Want 🟨
121′
121′
🟨 Sunday Adetunji
1–1 J. Thomson ⚽
121′
122′
❌ W. Hamidi
penalty missed
123′
🔁 K. Dulaj
↦ Queven
2–1 M. Randall ⚽
123′
124′
🔁 E. Ajazaj
↦ A. Thaqi
124′
❌ E. Ajazaj
penalty missed
3–1 A. Ryan ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ K. Dulaj 3–2
4–2 C. Gallagher ⚽
127′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
18 C. Bolger D
4 A. Donnelly D
3 L. Ives M
25 D. Sloan M
27 C. Gallagher M
11 S. Graham M
30 M. Lusty M
6 J. Thomson M
29 A. Ryan F
Bench (9)
9 P. O'Neill
8 M. Randall
2 S. Want
7 C. McKendry
26 C. Smith
5 B. Altintop
24 S. Brown
36 D. Graham
34 O. Devlin

Coach: T. Lynch

Ballkani

4-4-2
1 E. Koliçi G
20 A. Thaqi D
32 B. Jashanica D
3 A. Potoku D
14 M. Ismajlgeci M
11 W. Hamidi F
6 L. Emërllahu M
88 Queven M
2 G. Smajli D
10 A. Kryeziu F
9 S. Adetunji F
Bench (10)
99 B. Tolaj
37 Giovanni
5 E. Sinani
22 K. Dulaj
19 E. Ajazaj
4 G. Halili
77 E. Abedini
34 M. Kodra
92 D. Ljuljanović
13 A. Miftari

Coach: I. Daja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.