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Conference League
Referee: R Schröder
AEK
T S S S T
1–0
Full-time
FC Noah
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK FC Noah
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,5
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
83%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,4
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 74%
67%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
5,0
3,2
Scored
3,0
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -24 FC Noah – AEK 3–1

Match report

AEK FC Noah
10′
🟨 Hélder Ferreira
Robert Ljubičić 🟨
15′
Stavros Pilios 🟨
25′
Damian Szymański 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
É. Lamela 🔁
↦ R. Ljubičić
46′
O. Pineda 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
46′
52′
🟨 Gonçalo Gregório
Alexander Callens 🟨
53′
Domagoj Vida 🟨
60′
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
63′
A. Koïta 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
63′
64′
🔁 Matheus Aiás
↦ Gonçalo Gregório
64′
🔁 E. Çinari
↦ M. Gamboš
64′
🔁 A. Avanesyan
↦ Hélder Ferreira
E. Hajisafi 🔁
↦ S. Pilios
70′
71′
🟨 Artem Avanesyan
74′
🔁 I. Oulad Omar
↦ G. Manvelyan
76′
🔁 S. Muradyan
↦ G. Sangaré
78′
🟨 Eraldo Cinari
0–1 Gonçalo Silva ⚽
own goal
92′
97′
🟨 Ognjen Čančarević
Lazaros Rota 🟨
103′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
3 S. Pilios D
4 D. Szymański M
20 P. Mantalos M
19 N. Eliasson M
23 R. Ljubičić D
8 M. Gaćinović M
10 S. Zuber F
Bench (12)
9 É. Lamela
13 O. Pineda
22 Paolo Fernandes
11 A. Koïta
28 E. Hajisafi
99 G. Theocharis
37 R. Pereyra
25 K. Galanopoulos
24 G. Mitoglou
5 N. Amrabat
81 A. Angelopoulos
2 H. Moukoudi

Coach: M. Almeyda

FC Noah

4-3-3
22 O. Čančarević G
37 Gonçalo Silva D
26 A. Miljković D
4 G. Þórarinsson D
28 Pablo Santos D
20 M. Gamboš M
17 G. Sangaré M
27 G. Manvelyan M
7 Hélder Ferreira M
8 Gonçalo Gregório F
93 V. Pinson F
Bench (10)
9 Matheus Aiás
11 E. Çinari
18 A. Avanesyan
81 I. Oulad Omar
3 S. Muradyan
19 H. Hambardzumyan
14 B. Mendoza
30 G. Petrosyan
92 A. Ploshchadny
10 A. Dashyan

Coach: Rui Mota

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.