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Conference League
Referee: R Hennessy
Zrinjski
T U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Botev Plovdiv
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zrinjski Botev Plovdiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Zrinjski Botev Plovdiv
K. Memija 🔁
↦ J. Ćorluka
6′
Frano Mlinar
penalty missed
22′
28′
🟨 Christian Nwachukwu
34′
🟨 Hans Christian Bernat
1–0 N. Mulahusejnović
39′
40′
🟥 Antoine Conte
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Diabaté
↦ M. Sekulić
46′
🔁 E. Ukaki
↦ S. Akere
Frano Mlinar 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Joonas Tamm
56′
🔁 A. Korošec
↦ C. Nwachukwu
T. Kiš 🔁
↦ F. Mlinar
62′
I. Savić 🔁
↦ I. Posavec
62′
70′
🟨 Yanis Karabelyov
B. Abdurahimi 🔁
↦ M. Malekinušić
80′
80′
🔁 A. Maraš
↦ I. Popov
2–0 T. Kiš
82′
85′
🔁 V. Triboulet
↦ Y. Karabelyov
96′
🟨 Konstantinos Balogiannis
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Zrinjski

4-3-3
35 M. Marić G
6 J. Ćorluka D
44 T. Šunjić D
4 H. Barišić D
91 M. Tičinović D
8 F. Mlinar M
14 I. Posavec M
20 A. Ivančić M
25 M. Ćuže M
11 N. Mulahusejnović F
17 M. Malekinušić M
Bench (12)
50 K. Memija
10 T. Kiš
21 I. Savić
77 B. Abdurahimi
96 A. Rušević
97 D. Čamber
18 G. Karačić
30 F. Topić
12 P. Mamić
19 T. Ramić
29 A. Prskalo
81 M. Kozina

Coach: M. Ivanković

Botev Plovdiv

4-2-3-1
1 H. Bernat G
17 N. Minkov D
5 J. Tamm D
19 A. Conté D
38 K. Balogiannis D
28 Y. Karabelyov M
20 Antonio Perera M
7 S. Akere M
10 I. Popov M
40 C. Nwachukwu F
9 M. Sekulić F
Bench (12)
27 S. Diabaté
4 E. Ukaki
88 A. Korošec
99 A. Maraš
91 V. Triboulet
15 J. Eto'o
22 D. Kajzer
21 N. Iliev
79 A. Chernev
42 I. Videv
16 M. Remeikis
32 M. Igonen

Coach: D. Kerkez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.