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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Alanyaspor
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Besiktas
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 40%
34%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,94 xG 0,45
55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 6. · Besiktas 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 35 31 3 1 +64 +46.8 96
2 Fenerbahce 35 28 6 1 +58 +56.9 90
3 Trabzonspor 35 18 4 13 +13 +1.8 58
4 Buyuksehyr 35 16 7 12 +10 +2.3 55
5 Besiktas 35 16 6 13 +6 +11.1 54
6 Alanyaspor 35 12 13 10 +3 +5.8 49
7 Kasimpasa 35 14 7 14 -6 -10.3 49
8 Rizespor 36 14 7 15 -8 -6.4 49
9 Sivasspor 35 12 12 11 -9 -6.2 48
10 Antalyaspor 35 11 12 12 -4 -3.6 45
11 Ad. Demirspor 35 10 14 11 +3 -2.6 44
12 Kayserispor 35 11 11 13 -9 -10.1 44
13 Samsunspor 35 11 9 15 -5 +6.1 42
14 Ankaragücü 36 8 15 13 -4 -6.0 39
15 Karagumruk 35 9 10 16 -2 -13.4 37
16 Hatayspor 36 8 13 15 -9 -6.4 37
17 Konyaspor 35 8 13 14 -14 -12.6 37
18 Pendikspor 36 9 9 18 -30 -10.8 36
19 Gaziantep 35 9 8 18 -15 -15.9 35
20 İstanbulspor 35 4 7 24 -42 -26.5 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Half-time 0–1
61′
J. Muleka 0–1
O. Bulut
Koka 🔁
↦ Carlos Eduardo
64′
E. Karaca 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
64′
64′
🔁 E. Terzi
↦ J. Muleka
Nuno Lima 🔁
↦ L. Fer
73′
N. Janvier 🔁
↦ F. Aksoy
73′
74′
🔁 E. Tıknaz
↦ S. Uçan
76′
🟨 Gedson Fernandes
Ahmed Hassan 🟨
79′
1–1 Koka
E. Karaca
79′
85′
🔁 M. Hekimoğlu
↦ C. Tosun
85′
🔁 A. Demir
↦ O. Bulut
85′
🔁 F. Ay
↦ Gedson Fernandes
João Novais 🔁
↦ Richard
87′
94′
🟨 Ernest Muçi
96′
🟨 Fahri Kerem Ay
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-1-2
1 E. Taşkıran G
20 F. Aksoy D
5 F. Aliti D
29 J. Balkovec D
94 F. Hadergjonaj M
25 Richard M
8 L. Fer M
27 Loide Augusto M
28 Carlos Eduardo F
11 O. Aydın F
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (10)
9 Koka
7 E. Karaca
2 Nuno Lima
17 N. Janvier
10 João Novais
88 Y. Özdemir
42 Y. Bahadır
18 P. Sisto
99 Y. Karagöz
33 Anderson Silva

Coach: F. Tekke

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Sanuç D
20 N. Uysal D
26 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
4 O. Bulut M
23 E. Muçi M
40 J. Muleka M
9 C. Tosun F
Bench (10)
79 E. Terzi
21 E. Tıknaz
64 M. Hekimoğlu
62 A. Demir
44 F. Ay
1 E. Destanoğlu
77 U. Meraş
70 A. Dönmez
17 J. Worrall
14 E. Uzunhan

Coach: S. Topraktepe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,46
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.