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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
Apoel Nicosia
S U T U T
2–1
Full-time
Rīgas FS
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apoel Nicosia Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,7
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Rīgas FS – Apoel Nicosia 2–1

Match report

Apoel Nicosia Rīgas FS
20′
🔁 R. Ndjiki
↦ I. Diomandé
23′
🟨 Adam Markhiyev
40′
⚽ J. Ikaunieks 0–1
R. Savaļnieks
Issam Chebake 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Jānis Ikaunieks
M. Sušić 🔁
↦ I. Chebake
53′
A. Donis 🔁
↦ Marquinhos
53′
56′
🟨 Herdi Prenga
60′
🟨 Lasha Odisharia
S. Dražić 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
65′
Vid Belec 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Alain Cedric Herve Kouadio
67′
🔁 Emerson Deocleciano
↦ R. Ndjiki
67′
🔁 V. Osuagwu
↦ C. Kouadio
1–1 M. Sušić ⚽
D. Ndongala
75′
G. Kostadinov 🔁
↦ Sergio Tejera
80′
Radosav Petrović 🟨
91′
92′
🔁 M. Ķigurs
↦ V. Osuagwu
2–1 A. Donis ⚽
M. Sušić
94′
94′
🟨 Žiga Lipušček
Anastasios Donis 🟨
98′
Cipriano 🔁
↦ R. Petrović
105′
108′
🟨 Mārtiņš Ķigurs
109′
🔁 L. Silagadze
↦ Emerson Deocleciano
110′
🔁 E. Stuglis
↦ L. Odisharia
M. Corbu 🔁
↦ D. Ndongala
112′
121′
⚽ J. Ikaunieks 2–2
3–2 Y. El-Arabi ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ Ž. Lipušček 3–3
K. Sarfo ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ H. Prenga 3–4
4–4 Xavi Quintillà ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ S. Panič 4–5
L. Dvali ❌
penalty missed
128′
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Apoel Nicosia

4-4-1-1
27 V. Belec G
29 I. Chebake D
3 R. Petrović D
5 L. Dvali D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
7 M. Meyer M
8 Sergio Tejera M
44 K. Sarfo M
77 D. Ndongala M
10 Marquinhos M
9 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (12)
16 M. Sušić
11 A. Donis
20 S. Dražić
70 G. Kostadinov
4 Cipriano
30 M. Corbu
34 K. Laifis
23 P. Kattirtzis
18 G. Satsias
78 S. Michos
22 A. Christodoulou
35 P. Polycarpou

Coach: José Dominguez

Rīgas FS

3-4-1-2
40 F. Ondoa G
23 H. Prenga D
2 D. Balodis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
11 R. Savaļnieks D
27 A. Markhiev M
26 S. Panič M
8 L. Odisharia M
9 J. Ikaunieks M
7 I. Diomandé F
17 C. Kouadio M
Bench (9)
15 R. Ndjiki
10 Emerson Deocleciano
3 V. Osuagwu
49 M. Ķigurs
77 L. Silagadze
21 E. Stuglis
1 P. Šteinbors
16 S. Vilkovs
30 H. Njie

Coach: V. Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.