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Europa League
Referee: M Mariani
Ajax
S S T T S
3–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 40%
80%
0%
Points per game
2,4
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,4
5,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,6
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Jagiellonia – Ajax 1–4

Match report

Ajax Jagiellonia
30′
🟨 Taras Romanczuk
Jordan Henderson 🟨
32′
1–0 K. Fitz-Jim ⚽
S. Bergwijn
43′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ Jesús Imaz
59′
🔁 J. Kubicki
↦ Nené
2–0 K. Taylor ⚽
J. Henderson
64′
B. van den Boomen 🔁
↦ J. Henderson
67′
68′
🔁 Miki Villar
↦ K. Hansen
68′
🔁 O. Pietuszewski
↦ D. Churlinov
3–0 B. Brobbey ⚽
K. Taylor
71′
A. Gaaei 🔁
↦ D. Rensch
74′
J. Mokio 🔁
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
74′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
81′
D. Rugani 🔁
↦ K. Taylor
82′
87′
🔁 A. Nguiamba
↦ João Moutinho
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
6 J. Henderson M
8 K. Taylor M
20 B. Traoré F
9 B. Brobbey F
7 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (12)
21 B. van den Boomen
3 A. Gaaei
31 J. Mokio
10 C. Akpom
26 D. Rugani
12 J. Gorter
11 Carlos Forbs
38 K. Hlynsson
40 D. Ramaj
39 M. Godts
29 C. Rasmussen
36 D. Janse

Coach: F. Farioli

Jagiellonia

4-4-2
1 M. Stryjek G
16 M. Sáček D
3 D. Stojinović D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
44 João Moutinho D
21 D. Churlinov M
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
99 K. Hansen M
11 Jesús Imaz F
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (12)
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
14 J. Kubicki
20 Miki Villar
80 O. Pietuszewski
39 A. Nguiamba
29 M. Listkowski
82 Tomás Silva
4 J. Haliti
19 P. Olszewski
17 Adrián Diéguez
66 M. Piekutowski
71 S. Stypulkowski

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.