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Conference League
Referee: M Lukjančukas
Maribor
S T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Djurgarden
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maribor Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Djurgarden – Maribor 1–0

Match report

Maribor Djurgarden
4′
⚽ D. Hümmet 0–1
27′
🔁 D. Stensson
↦ R. Schüller
Half-time 0–1
Lan Vidmar 🟨
47′
Lan Vidmar 🟨
59′
Lan Vidmar 🟥
59′
Jan Repas 🟨
60′
K. Borys 🔁
↦ M. Božić
65′
G. Sikošek 🔁
↦ M. Barišič
65′
O. Mbina 🔁
↦ A. Jakupovic
71′
71′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ T. Gulliksen
71′
🔁 O. Fallenius
↦ G. Wikheim
E. Beugré 🔁
↦ Z. Repas
83′
85′
🔁 A. Priske
↦ D. Hümmet
Josip Iličić 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Daniel Stensson
92′
🟨 August Priske
94′
🟨 Marcus Danielson
Martin Milec 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Maribor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jug G
5 P. Širvys D
6 B. M'bondo D
50 L. Vidmar D
22 M. Milec D
20 Z. Repas M
15 J. Repas M
10 M. Barišič M
72 J. Iličić M
8 M. Božić M
17 A. Jakupovic F
Bench (10)
21 K. Borys
12 G. Sikošek
99 O. Mbina
13 E. Beugré
16 N. Grlić
4 B. Vrhovec
81 M. Bergsen
55 M. Lorber
7 B. Feta
59 S. Pridgar

Coach: A. Šimundža

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne G
18 A. Ståhl M
4 J. Une Larsson D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
14 B. Šabović M
6 R. Schüller M
23 G. Wikheim M
20 T. Nguen F
16 T. Gulliksen M
11 D. Hümmet F
Bench (11)
13 D. Stensson
9 H. Radetinac
15 O. Fallenius
26 A. Priske
22 P. Åslund
5 M. Tenho
40 M. Croon
45 O. Jansson
17 P. Therkildsen
7 M. Eriksson
19 V. Bergh

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjančukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.